Primera División - Apertura·
Intermediate Round - 4·06/13/2025·15:00
Atletico Torque
Atletico Torque
LLLLL
3-1
Finished
HT1-0
Progreso
Progreso
WLLLW
📍 Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Season statsPrimera División - Apertura
Torque18matchesProgreso18matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera División - Apertura.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
28%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

42%
1367
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1269
40%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
16%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

39%
3.54
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.71

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1818
0.94
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
22%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

22%
28%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

44%
22%
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%
17%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

28%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1818
1.17
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
83%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

72%
72%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

72%
56%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%
33%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

28%
72%
BTTS69%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
22%
Scored Both Halves17%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

11%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1818
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.61
22%
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1818
1.54
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.08
2.21
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.67
-0.67
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.59
-0.26
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1818
22%4/18
Leading at HT19%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

17%3/18
56%10/18
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

39%7/18
22%4/18
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

44%8/18
67%12/18
HT/FT Same Outcome61%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%10/18
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won54%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

33%1/3
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%2/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 18/1818/181818
14%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
24%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
19%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

6%
10%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

33%
24%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
10%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 18/1818/181818
44%7/16
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

41%7/17
56%9/16
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

59%10/17
43%3/7
Win when Scoring First43%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

43%3/7
11%1/9
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%1/10
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

38'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 18/1818/181818
11%2/18
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%6/18
33%6/18
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

44%8/18
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'70%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

40%2/5
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

60%3/5
22%4/18
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

33%6/18

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 18/1818/181818
86%18/21
Open-Play Share76%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

67%12/18
14%3/21
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

28%5/18
0%0/21
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%1/18
19%6/31
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

27%8/30
0%0/31
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 18/1818/181818
88%14/16
Match Cards > 3.594%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%18/18
16/18
75%12/16
Match Cards > 4.579%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

83%15/18
16/18
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeTorque at home · Progreso on the road
88
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.25
25%2/8
Win Rate25%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%2/8
50%4/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.13
1.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.38
13%1/8
Clean Sheet13%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%1/8
75%6/8
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%6/8
50%4/8
Over 2.544%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%3/8
1.75
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.22
1.84
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.81