Liga Profesional Argentina·
1st Phase - Quarter-finals·05/19/2025·20:30
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
DDLWW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Independiente
Independiente
WWWLL
📍 Estadio Alberto José Armando, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Season statsLiga Profesional Argentina
Juniors17matchesIndependiente17matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga Profesional Argentina.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

69%
1701
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1667
68%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

75%
2.02
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.95

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1717
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.88
59%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

53%
24%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
18%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

18%
53%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%
24%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

29%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1717
1.41
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.41
76%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

71%
71%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
35%
Over 2.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

29%
12%
Over 3.512%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

12%
35%
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

35%
18%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
24%
Scored Both Halves26%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1717
0.65
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.71
11.53
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.24
3.29
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.65
2.69
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.18
16/17
77%
Save %80%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

82%
53%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1717
1.68
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.69
0.86
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.87
0.81
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.82
-0.28
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1717
11.06
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.65
3.41
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.24
7.06
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.59
64%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
31%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
13%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1717
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

59%
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
437.88
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

401.59
0.15
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.22

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1717
35%6/17
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

35%6/17
47%8/17
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

47%8/17
18%3/17
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

18%3/17
65%11/17
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

59%10/17
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%5/6
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 17/1717/171717
10%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

25%
10%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
17%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
17%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
10%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
34%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 17/1717/171717
75%12/16
Scored First74%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

73%11/15
25%4/16
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

27%4/15
83%10/12
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

82%9/11
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

25'
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 17/1717/171717
41%7/17
Scored after 75'38%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

35%6/17
18%3/17
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%5/17
88%7/8
Lead Saved after 75'89%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%9/10
13%1/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%1/10
12%2/17
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

12%2/17

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 17/1717/171717
79%23/29
Open-Play Share77%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%18/24
21%6/29
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%3/24
0%0/29
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

13%3/24
40%8/20
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

25%3/12
5%1/20
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

25%3/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1717
4.41
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.65
4.18
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.59
51%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

56%
1.10
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.68
71%12/17
Match Corners > 8.562%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

53%9/17
35%6/17
Match Corners > 9.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

41%7/17
12%2/17
Match Corners > 10.518%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

24%4/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 17/1717/171717
2.82
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.65
12%2/17
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%1/17
12.41
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.65
88%14/16
Match Cards > 3.584%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

81%13/16
16/1716/17
81%13/16
Match Cards > 4.569%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%9/16
16/1716/17
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

56%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeJuniors at home · Independiente on the road
98
2.56
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.12
78%7/9
Win Rate51%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%2/8
0%0/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%3/8
1.56
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.88
0.22
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
78%7/9
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%1/8
22%2/9
BTTS36%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
33%3/9
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%2/8
2.00
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.48
0.52
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.46