First League·
Relegation Round - 4·05/10/2025·08:00
Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia
LLWWW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
WDWDL
📍 Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia33matchesSofia33matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1490
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1473
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
40%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

78%
3.69
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.05

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3333
1.36
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.12
39%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
18%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

21%
42%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

48%
12%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

42%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3333
1.42
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.09
73%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

58%
67%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
45%
Over 2.548%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
39%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

21%
61%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

15%
27%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

18%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3333
1.45
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.52
10.80
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

5/330/33
3.80
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5/330/33
2.80
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

5/330/33
74%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

5/330/33
12%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3333
2.03
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.91
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.69
0.12
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.08
-0.41
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.36
0.19
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3333
10.40
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

5/330/33
2.80
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5/330/33
4.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5/330/33
38%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

5/330/33
27%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

5/330/33
4%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

5/330/33

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3333
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

5/330/33
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

5/330/33
384.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

5/330/33
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3333
42%14/33
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%10/33
24%8/33
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%10/33
33%11/33
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

39%13/33
61%20/33
HT/FT Same Outcome68%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

76%25/33
71%10/14
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%8/10
18%2/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

8%1/13

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 33/3333/333333
27%
0-15'27%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

27%
12%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
12%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
12%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
16%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
20%
76-90+'18%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 33/3333/333333
52%17/33
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

52%15/29
48%16/33
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

48%14/29
71%12/17
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%10/15
6%1/16
Win when Conceding First3%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/14
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

19'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 33/3333/333333
27%9/33
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

18%6/33
33%11/33
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%9/33
79%11/14
Lead Saved after 75'80%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

82%9/11
21%3/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

18%2/11
12%4/33
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

15%5/33

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 33/3333/333333
84%41/49
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%34/37
12%6/49
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%2/37
4%2/49
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/37
0%0/47
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%2/49
2%1/47
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/49

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3333
4.20
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5/330/33
4.60
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5/330/33
48%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

5/330/33
-0.23
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.85
60%3/5
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
5/330/33
40%2/5
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
5/330/33
0%0/5
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
5/330/33

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 33/3333/333333
2.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.00
5/332/33
0%0/5
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/2
5/332/33
16.20
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.00
5/332/33
70%21/30
Match Cards > 3.570%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

70%19/27
30/3327/33
60%18/30
Match Cards > 4.560%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

59%16/27
30/3327/33
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Sofia on the road
1716
1.88
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.94
59%10/17
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%4/16
29%5/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

56%9/16
1.71
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.06
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.69
12%2/17
Clean Sheet18%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%4/16
65%11/17
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%6/16
53%9/17
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%7/16
2.23
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.30
1.65
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.01