First League·
Relegation Round - 1·04/25/2025·10:30
Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia
WWLLD
3-2
Finished
HT3-2
Hebar 1918
Hebar 1918
WLLDL
📍 Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia30matches191830matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

38%
1538
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1324
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

32%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

43%
3.77
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.22

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3030
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.57
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

27%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

63%
13%
Clean Sheet12%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3030
1.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.77
73%
Scored > 0.562%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
67%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
43%
Over 2.543%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%
37%
Over 3.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

27%
60%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
30%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3030
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.73
10.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.00
4/304/30
3.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

6.00
4/304/30
2.75
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.75
4/304/30
73%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
4/304/30
13%
Clean Sheet12%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3030
2.14
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.97
1.74
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.88
0.40
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.91
-0.43
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.22
0.21
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3030
9.75
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

6.75
4/304/30
2.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.50
4/304/30
4.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

3.75
4/304/30
41%
Box Shot %48%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

56%
4/304/30
28%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
4/304/30
5%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

22%
4/304/30

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3030
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

40%
4/304/30
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
4/304/30
383.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

325.25
4/304/30
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.16

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3030
43%13/30
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%3/30
23%7/30
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

43%13/30
33%10/30
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

47%14/30
60%18/30
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%19/30
69%9/13
Led at HT → Won85%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
20%2/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

21%3/14

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 30/3030/303030
24%
0-15'21%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
9%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
13%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
13%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
18%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

5%
22%
76-90+'29%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

36%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 30/3030/303030
50%15/30
Scored First34%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

19%5/27
50%15/30
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

81%22/27
73%11/15
Win when Scoring First57%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%2/5
7%1/15
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

5%1/22
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

15'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 30/3030/303030
30%9/30
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

23%7/30
30%9/30
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

23%7/30
77%10/13
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
23%3/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
13%4/30
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

13%4/30

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 30/3030/303030
84%38/45
Open-Play Share83%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

82%18/22
11%5/45
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%3/22
4%2/45
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/22
0%0/41
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%6/54
2%1/41
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%2/54

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3030
3.75
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

1.75
4/304/30
5.25
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.50
4/304/30
42%
Corner Share33%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

24%
4/304/30
-1.15
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-3.26
75%3/4
Match Corners > 8.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

25%1/4
4/304/30
50%2/4
Match Corners > 9.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0%0/4
4/304/30
0%0/4
Match Corners > 10.50%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0%0/4
4/304/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 30/3030/303030
2.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.25
4/304/30
0%0/4
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/4
4/304/30
16.75
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.00
4/304/30
74%20/27
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

81%21/26
27/3026/30
63%17/27
Match Cards > 4.570%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

77%20/26
27/3026/30
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · 1918 on the road
1515
1.93
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.40
60%9/15
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

7%1/15
27%4/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

73%11/15
1.73
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.87
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.13
13%2/15
Clean Sheet10%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

7%1/15
67%10/15
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%8/15
53%8/15
Over 2.557%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%9/15
2.24
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.97
1.60
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.21