First League·
Conference League Play-off Group - 6·05/26/2025·13:45
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
LWLWD
0-4
Finished
HT0-1
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
LWWWW
📍 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Season statsFirst League
Plovdiv35matchesSofia35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

75%
1527
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1667
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
46%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

75%
3.26
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.50

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3535
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.77
46%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

51%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
31%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
40%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3535
1.23
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.54
74%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
57%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

63%
37%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

46%
23%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
37%
BTTS36%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

34%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
20%
Scored Both Halves31%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

43%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3535
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
11.33
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

8.17
3/356/35
3.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.33
3/356/35
2.67
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.83
3/356/35
80%
Save %79%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

79%
3/356/35
40%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3535
1.86
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.75
1.80
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.62
0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.12
-0.37
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.03
0.23
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3535
10.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.00
3/356/35
3.33
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.67
3/356/35
4.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.50
3/356/35
42%
Box Shot %44%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

47%
3/356/35
32%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

29%
3/356/35
16%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
3/356/35

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3535
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

63%
3/356/35
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
3/356/35
461.33
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

528.17
3/356/35
-0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.32

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3535
29%10/35
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

46%16/35
49%17/35
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

34%12/35
23%8/35
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%7/35
51%18/35
HT/FT Same Outcome56%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%21/35
60%6/10
Led at HT → Won74%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%14/16
0%0/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

43%3/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 35/3535/353535
11%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
14%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
25%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
14%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
23%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 35/3535/353535
65%22/34
Scored First62%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%20/34
35%12/34
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%14/34
73%16/22
Win when Scoring First79%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

85%17/20
0%0/12
Win when Conceding First4%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

7%1/14
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 35/3535/353535
26%9/35
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

37%13/35
9%3/35
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

11%4/35
80%12/15
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

84%16/19
20%3/15
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

16%3/19
6%2/35
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%7/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 35/3535/353535
95%42/44
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%52/57
2%1/44
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%2/57
2%1/44
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%3/57
13%5/39
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%5/25
0%0/39
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/25

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3535
5.67
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.50
3/356/35
4.33
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.00
3/356/35
57%
Corner Share59%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
3/356/35
1.48
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.15
67%2/3
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

83%5/6
3/356/35
67%2/3
Match Corners > 9.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

83%5/6
3/356/35
33%1/3
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%3/6
3/356/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 35/3535/353535
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
3/357/35
0%0/3
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/7
3/357/35
12.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

8.57
3/357/35
77%24/31
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

76%22/29
31/3529/35
68%21/31
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

62%18/29
31/3529/35
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePlovdiv at home · Sofia on the road
1717
1.71
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.59
47%8/17
Win Rate47%

Share of sampled matches won.

47%8/17
24%4/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

35%6/17
1.29
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.24
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.76
41%7/17
Clean Sheet44%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%8/17
41%7/17
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

24%4/17
41%7/17
Over 2.541%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

41%7/17
1.58
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.54
1.71
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.66