First League·
Conference League Play-off Group - 3·05/09/2025·13:15
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
WWWLW
3-0
Finished
HT2-0
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
WDDWD
📍 Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia32matchesPlovdiv32matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
79%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1657
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1509
72%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
85%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
1.79
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.65

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3232
1.66
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.66
47%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

47%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
28%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

28%
41%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%
28%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

25%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3232
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.13
72%
Scored > 0.573%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

75%
59%
Over 1.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

53%
41%
Over 2.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

31%
25%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

22%
34%
BTTS36%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
38%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3232
0.84
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.06
8.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.33
4/323/32
1.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.33
4/323/32
1.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.67
4/323/32
71%
Save %76%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

80%
4/323/32
41%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3232
1.81
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.52
0.67
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.74
1.15
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.21
-0.30
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.26
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3232
13.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.33
4/323/32
3.25
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.33
4/323/32
6.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

4.33
4/323/32
44%
Box Shot %43%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

42%
4/323/32
24%
On-Target %28%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
4/323/32
4%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

16%
4/323/32

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3232
60%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
4/323/32
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
4/323/32
475.25
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

461.33
4/323/32
0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3232
44%14/32
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

28%9/32
34%11/32
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%17/32
22%7/32
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

19%6/32
59%19/32
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

47%15/32
86%12/14
Led at HT → Won71%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

56%5/9
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 32/3232/323232
15%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
11%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
17%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
19%
46-60'24%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

30%
13%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
26%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 32/3232/323232
58%18/31
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

68%21/31
42%13/31
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

32%10/31
83%15/18
Win when Scoring First77%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%15/21
0%0/13
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/10
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

41'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 32/3232/323232
34%11/32
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%7/32
13%4/32
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

9%3/32
82%14/17
Lead Saved after 75'80%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

79%11/14
18%3/17
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

21%3/14
22%7/32
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

6%2/32

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 32/3232/323232
91%43/47
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%35/37
2%1/47
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/37
6%3/47
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/37
21%5/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

12%4/34
0%0/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/34

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3232
7.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.67
4/323/32
3.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.33
4/323/32
67%
Corner Share62%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

57%
4/323/32
2.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.33
75%3/4
Match Corners > 8.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%2/3
4/323/32
75%3/4
Match Corners > 9.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%2/3
4/323/32
50%2/4
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%1/3
4/323/32

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 32/3232/323232
2.40
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.00
5/323/32
0%0/5
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/3
5/323/32
9.40
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.00
5/323/32
75%21/28
Match Cards > 3.580%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

86%24/28
28/3228/32
54%15/28
Match Cards > 4.563%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

71%20/28
28/3228/32
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Plovdiv on the road
1515
1.73
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.60
47%7/15
Win Rate47%

Share of sampled matches won.

47%7/15
20%3/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%5/15
1.53
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.93
0.93
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.87
33%5/15
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%6/15
47%7/15
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%5/15
40%6/15
Over 2.530%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%3/15
1.95
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.27
1.08
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.56