LLWWW
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
DWLWW
📍 Larrakia Park, Darwin
Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.
Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.
Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.
Long-term quality across all competitions.
Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.
Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).
Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).
Share of sampled matches won.
Share of sampled matches that ended level.
Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).
Goals scored per match across the sampled games.
Share of matches where the team scored at least once.
Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.
Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.
Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.
Share of matches where both teams scored.
Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.
Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.
Goals conceded per match (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.
Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.
Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.
Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.
Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.
Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.
Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).
Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.
Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.
Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.
Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.
Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).
Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.
Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).
Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.
Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).
Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.
Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).
Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).
Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).
Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.
Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.
Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.
Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.
Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.
Share of sampled matches won.
Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).
Goals scored per match across the sampled games.
Goals conceded per match (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Share of matches where both teams scored.
Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.
Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.
Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).