Jupiler Pro League·
Conference League Play-off Group - 5·04/22/2025·14:30
Dender
Dender
DDLWL
2-1
Finished
HT0-1
Charleroi
Charleroi
WDWDL
📍 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Season statsJupiler Pro League
Dender34matchesCharleroi34matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Jupiler Pro League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
40%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

63%
1432
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1562
41%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

56%
39%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

70%
3.89
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.41

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3434
1.09
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.32
26%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

35%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
44%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
24%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%
32%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

32%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3434
1.21
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.24
68%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
71%
Over 1.566%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

62%
53%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%
35%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

21%
56%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
15%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

12%
18%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3434
1.79
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.12
14.85
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.22
33/3432/34
5.27
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.22
33/3432/34
3.55
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.13
33/3432/34
67%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
33/3432/34
24%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3434
1.26
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
1.76
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.38
-0.50
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.13
0.01
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.13
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3434
10.73
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.97
33/3432/34
3.52
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.81
33/3432/34
7.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.88
33/3432/34
68%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
33/3432/34
33%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
33/3432/34
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
33/3432/34

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3434
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
33/3432/34
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
33/3432/34
392.21
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

472.59
33/3432/34
-0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3434
29%10/34
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

32%11/34
26%9/34
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

41%14/34
44%15/34
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

26%9/34
74%25/34
HT/FT Same Outcome68%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%21/34
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won81%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

82%9/11
27%4/15
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%3/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 34/3434/343434
23%
0-15'21%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

19%
10%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
20%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
15%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
13%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

9%
20%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 34/3434/343434
43%13/30
Scored First47%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%16/32
57%17/30
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%16/32
54%7/13
Win when Scoring First61%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

69%11/16
12%2/17
Win when Conceding First9%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

6%1/16
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

40'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 34/3434/343434
24%8/34
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

24%8/34
26%9/34
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

24%8/34
63%5/8
Lead Saved after 75'74%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

85%11/13
38%3/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

15%2/13
18%6/34
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%7/34

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 34/3434/343434
90%36/40
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%38/43
5%2/40
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%4/43
5%2/40
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/43
13%8/62
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%3/37
5%3/62
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/37

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3434
4.12
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.88
33/3432/34
4.76
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.22
33/3432/34
46%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

54%
33/3432/34
-0.78
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.54
48%16/33
Match Corners > 8.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

59%19/32
33/3432/34
39%13/33
Match Corners > 9.537%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

34%11/32
33/3432/34
24%8/33
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%8/32
33/3432/34

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 34/3434/343434
1.94
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
33/3432/34
12%4/33
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%2/32
33/3432/34
10.33
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.59
33/3432/34
69%18/26
Match Cards > 3.568%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%20/30
26/3430/34
35%9/26
Match Cards > 4.534%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

33%10/30
26/3430/34
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDender at home · Charleroi on the road
1717
1.24
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
29%5/17
Win Rate26%

Share of sampled matches won.

24%4/17
35%6/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

47%8/17
0.94
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.18
1.12
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.53
35%6/17
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%3/17
47%8/17
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%9/17
29%5/17
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%8/17
1.11
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.46
1.43
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.62