Liga I·
Championship Round - 1·03/16/2025·15:00
FCSB
FCSB
LWLDW
3-3
Finished
HT1-1
Rapid
Rapid
LDWWD
📍 Arena Naţională, Bucureşti
Season statsLiga I
FCSB30matchesRapid30matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga I.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

64%
1728
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1652
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

66%
43%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
2.46
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.81

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3030
1.87
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.53
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

37%
37%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

43%
13%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
40%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3030
1.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.17
77%
Scored > 0.573%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
73%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
33%
Over 2.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
17%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

13%
47%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
37%
Scored Both Halves27%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

17%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3030
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.87
9.97
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.87
29/30
2.93
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.80
29/30
2.10
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.93
29/30
72%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

77%
29/30
40%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3030
1.41
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.34
0.97
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.91
0.44
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.43
-0.14
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.17
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3030
15.93
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.50
29/30
5.55
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.40
29/30
9.45
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.13
29/30
59%
Box Shot %60%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
29/30
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
29/30
9%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
29/30

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3030
58%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
29/30
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
29/30
481.86
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

422.70
29/30
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3030
43%13/30
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

37%11/30
40%12/30
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%16/30
17%5/30
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%3/30
60%18/30
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%19/30
77%10/13
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%8/11
60%3/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered47%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 30/3030/303030
14%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
21%
16-30'24%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

26%
14%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
19%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

15%
12%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
19%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

12%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 30/3030/303030
63%17/27
Scored First60%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

58%15/26
37%10/27
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

42%11/26
71%12/17
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%10/15
30%3/10
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

9%1/11
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 30/3030/303030
23%7/30
Scored after 75'18%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%4/30
27%8/30
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%10/30
81%13/16
Lead Saved after 75'79%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

77%10/13
19%3/16
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

23%3/13
17%5/30
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

17%5/30

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 30/3030/303030
90%38/42
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

82%28/34
10%4/42
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%6/34
0%0/42
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/34
12%3/25
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

19%5/27
4%1/25
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/27

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3030
5.90
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.90
29/30
3.31
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.73
29/30
64%
Corner Share60%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

57%
29/30
0.60
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.49
59%17/29
Match Corners > 8.558%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%17/30
29/30
52%15/29
Match Corners > 9.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

33%10/30
29/30
38%11/29
Match Corners > 10.531%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

23%7/30
29/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 30/3030/303030
2.14
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
29/30
24%7/29
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%3/30
29/30
11.59
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.40
29/30
69%18/26
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%20/25
26/3025/30
58%15/26
Match Cards > 4.559%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

60%15/25
26/3025/30
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFCSB at home · Rapid on the road
1515
1.93
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.07
53%8/15
Win Rate37%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%3/15
13%2/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%5/15
1.53
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.87
0.87
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.07
33%5/15
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%2/15
53%8/15
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%9/15
40%6/15
Over 2.533%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

27%4/15
1.61
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.32
1.00
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.24