Serie B·
Regular Season - 28·09/24/2025·18:00
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
LDDDL
2-2
Finished
HT0-0
Cuiaba
Cuiaba
WDWDD
📍 Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
Season statsSerie B
Nova27matchesCuiaba27matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
43%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1410
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1461
46%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
40%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

76%
2.18
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.09

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2727
1.33
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.41
37%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

37%
22%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
41%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
33%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2727
0.96
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.15
67%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
63%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
30%
Over 2.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

37%
11%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
37%
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%
7%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
19%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

22%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2727
1.04
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.15
12.44
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.67
3.30
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.37
2.19
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.26
66%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
33%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2727
1.15
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.48
1.43
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.26
-0.28
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.22
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2727
12.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.07
3.70
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.85
6.30
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.26
52%
Box Shot %56%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

59%
31%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
8%
Shot Conversion8%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2727
45%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
321.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

359.56
-0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2727
22%6/27
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%8/27
56%15/27
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

37%10/27
22%6/27
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%9/27
59%16/27
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

59%16/27
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won79%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%6/8
0%0/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%3/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 27/2727/272727
21%
0-15'20%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
14%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
14%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

9%
11%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
11%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
29%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 27/2727/272727
54%14/26
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

46%12/26
46%12/26
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

54%14/26
71%10/14
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

58%7/12
0%0/12
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

21%3/14
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
45'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 27/2727/272727
30%8/27
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%8/27
26%7/27
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%9/27
80%8/10
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

69%9/13
20%2/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

31%4/13
7%2/27
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

4%1/27

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 27/2727/272727
75%21/28
Open-Play Share74%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

74%25/34
18%5/28
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

24%8/34
7%2/28
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/34
22%6/27
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%2/29
0%0/27
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/29

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2727
4.26
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.67
5.63
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.22
43%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

57%
-1.03
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.44
67%18/27
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

59%16/27
56%15/27
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

52%14/27
48%13/27
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

41%11/27

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 27/2727/272727
2.56
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.52
22%6/27
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%3/27
15.96
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.33
68%17/25
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

87%20/23
25/2723/27
60%15/25
Match Cards > 4.567%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

74%17/23
25/2723/27
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNova at home · Cuiaba on the road
1314
1.85
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.86
54%7/13
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

14%2/14
23%3/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%6/14
1.08
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.79
0.69
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
54%7/13
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%3/14
31%4/13
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%7/14
23%3/13
Over 2.526%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

29%4/14
1.35
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.00
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.57