Serie B·
Regular Season - 20·07/31/2025·20:35
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
LWDDW
1-2
Finished
HT1-2
Coritiba
Coritiba
DDLWW
📍 Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Season statsSerie B
Nova19matchesCoritiba19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1419
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1458
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
64%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

46%
2.07
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.31

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.42
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.84
42%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

53%
16%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
42%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
37%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

58%
37%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
0.95
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.05
63%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
53%
Over 1.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

47%
32%
Over 2.526%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

21%
11%
Over 3.58%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

5%
32%
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

32%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
16%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

11%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
0.95
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.68
12.84
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.00
3.42
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.68
2.32
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.05
68%
Save %77%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

87%
37%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

58%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.18
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.42
1.26
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.08
-0.09
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.34
-0.20
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.23
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
12.47
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.74
4.16
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.58
6.79
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.47
54%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
8%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
332.74
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

416.21
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
21%4/19
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

32%6/19
58%11/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

58%11/19
21%4/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

11%2/19
58%11/19
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%10/19
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%4/6
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
22%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
11%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

30%
17%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
11%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
6%
61-75'8%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
33%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
50%9/18
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

76%13/17
50%9/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

24%4/17
89%8/9
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

77%10/13
0%0/9
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

46'
47'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

45'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
32%6/19
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%4/19
26%5/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%5/19
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

89%8/9
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

11%1/9
11%2/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
89%16/18
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%17/20
11%2/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

15%3/20
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/20
21%4/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

14%2/14
0%0/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/14

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
4.89
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.00
6.11
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.42
45%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
-0.38
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.95
79%15/19
Match Corners > 8.579%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

79%15/19
74%14/19
Match Corners > 9.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

63%12/19
63%12/19
Match Corners > 10.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

58%11/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
2.05
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.89
26%5/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%1/19
14.95
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.63
65%11/17
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

88%14/16
17/1916/19
53%9/17
Match Cards > 4.558%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%10/16
17/1916/19
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNova at home · Coritiba on the road
910
2.11
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
67%6/9
Win Rate53%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%4/10
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%3/10
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.70
0.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.60
67%6/9
Clean Sheet58%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%5/10
11%1/9
BTTS21%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%3/10
22%2/9
Over 2.521%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%2/10
1.22
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.06
0.82
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.95