UEFA Europa League·
Knockout Round Play-offs·02/20/2025·12:45
FCSB
FCSB
WWWDD
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
PAOK
PAOK
WLWLL
📍 Arena Naţională, Bucureşti

Stats below use each team's main league —Liga IRomania·Super League 1Greece

Last 10UEFA Europa League
FCSB10matchesPAOK10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
75%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

59%
1694
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1676
68%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
82%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
2.29
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.39

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.80
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.90
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
40%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
10%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
50%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
10%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
10.38
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.22
8/109/10
2.63
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.11
8/109/10
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.22
8/109/10
76%
Save %77%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

78%
8/109/10
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.71
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.66
0.89
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.04
0.82
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.61
-0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.46
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.19

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.88
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.00
8/109/10
5.38
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.44
8/109/10
8.38
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.89
8/109/10
65%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

71%
8/109/10
42%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
8/109/10
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
8/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
53%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
8/109/10
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
8/109/10
443.38
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

487.67
8/109/10
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.16

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
10%1/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
40%4/10
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
67%2/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
21%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
7%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

20%
14%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

5%
21%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
29%
61-75'22%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

15%
7%
76-90+'16%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

78%7/9
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

22%2/9
100%3/3
Win when Scoring First86%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
33%2/6
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
46'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

45'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

40'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
10%1/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
0%0/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

30%3/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
79%11/14
Open-Play Share82%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%17/20
14%2/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%2/20
7%1/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/20
0%0/9
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/8
11%1/9
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/8

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.11
8/109/10
3.25
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.44
8/109/10
60%
Corner Share62%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

64%
8/109/10
1.80
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.64
50%4/8
Match Corners > 8.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

56%5/9
8/109/10
38%3/8
Match Corners > 9.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%4/9
8/109/10
38%3/8
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%3/9
8/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.63
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.89
8/109/10
13%1/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%1/9
8/109/10
13.75
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.22
8/109/10
75%6/8
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
8/109/10
38%3/8
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%5/9
8/109/10
75%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

51%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFCSB at home · PAOK on the road
43
1.25
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.33
25%1/4
Win Rate29%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%1/3
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%1/3
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.67
25%1/4
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

67%2/3
50%2/4
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

0%0/3
25%1/4
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%1/3
1.69
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.20
1.20
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.96