Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 10·04/06/2025·09:00
Cerro
Cerro
WDDDW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Progreso
Progreso
LDWDD
📍 Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
Season statsPrimera División - Apertura
Cerro9matchesProgreso9matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera División - Apertura.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
58%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

50%
1301
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1264
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

40%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
2.24
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.58

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
99
1.44
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.78
33%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

11%
44%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

44%
22%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

44%
22%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%
22%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

11%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
99
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.11
78%
Scored > 0.583%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

89%
67%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

89%
33%
Over 2.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
0%
Over 3.522%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

44%
67%
BTTS78%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

89%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
11%
Scored Both Halves11%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

11%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
99
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.11
22%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
99
1.10
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.16
1.22
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.20
-0.12
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.05
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.21

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
99
22%2/9
Leading at HT22%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

22%2/9
67%6/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

11%1/9
11%1/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

67%6/9
22%2/9
HT/FT Same Outcome39%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%5/9
0%0/2
Led at HT → Won0%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/2
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered67%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%2/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/99/999
10%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
0%
16-30'0%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
20%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
30%
46-60'40%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

50%
10%
61-75'5%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
30%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/99/999
50%4/8
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
50%4/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%6/9
25%1/4
Win when Scoring First13%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0%0/3
50%2/4
Win when Conceding First33%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%1/6
45'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

22'
57'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

12'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/99/999
33%3/9
Scored after 75'33%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
44%4/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

56%5/9
25%1/4
Lead Saved after 75'13%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

0%0/2
75%3/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

100%2/2
22%2/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

33%3/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/99/999
70%7/10
Open-Play Share70%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

70%7/10
20%2/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

30%3/10
10%1/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/10
0%0/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

21%4/19
0%0/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/99/999
89%8/9
Match Cards > 3.594%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%9/9
67%6/9
Match Cards > 4.578%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

89%8/9
78%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCerro at home · Progreso on the road
54
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.75
40%2/5
Win Rate20%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
0%0/5
Clean Sheet0%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
80%4/5
BTTS90%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%4/4
40%2/5
Over 2.533%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.30
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.02
1.34
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.17