Major League Soccer·
Regular Season - 23·07/16/2025·19:30
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
LWWWW
3-0
Finished
HT1-0
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
WWWLD
📍 TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Season statsMajor League Soccer
Cincinnati22matchesMiami19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Major League Soccer.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

75%
1529
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1629
60%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

67%
63%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

83%
3.52
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.82

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2219
1.91
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
59%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

58%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

16%
27%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%
9%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

11%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2219
1.59
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.32
91%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

89%
73%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

84%
59%
Over 2.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

79%
32%
Over 3.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

53%
64%
BTTS71%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

79%
32%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

47%
36%
Scored Both Halves47%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

58%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2219
1.41
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.58
12.77
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.42
4.18
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.74
2.82
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.21
67%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
27%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2219
1.11
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.49
1.34
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.73
-0.23
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.23
0.56
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.55
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2219
14.05
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.05
5.55
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.00
8.09
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.89
58%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
39%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

41%
11%
Shot Conversion15%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

19%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2219
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

87%
464.68
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

541.84
-0.00
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2219
45%10/22
Leading at HT49%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

53%10/19
32%7/22
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

26%5/19
23%5/22
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%4/19
59%13/22
HT/FT Same Outcome66%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

74%14/19
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won85%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

90%9/10
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered35%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 22/2219/192219
16%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
14%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

22%
16%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
11%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
24%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
19%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 22/2219/192219
68%15/22
Scored First65%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

61%11/18
32%7/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

39%7/18
80%12/15
Win when Scoring First81%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

82%9/11
14%1/7
Win when Conceding First21%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%2/7
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

19'
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 22/2219/192219
32%7/22
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%6/19
36%8/22
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%6/19
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'96%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%10/10
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/10
18%4/22
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%4/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 22/2219/192219
86%32/37
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

98%44/45
8%3/37
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/45
5%2/37
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/45
16%5/31
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/29
0%0/31
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/29

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2219
4.55
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.74
5.09
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.58
47%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

51%
-0.60
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.53
73%16/22
Match Corners > 8.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

68%13/19
45%10/22
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

42%8/19
41%9/22
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

32%6/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 22/2219/192219
2.05
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.37
5%1/22
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

16%3/19
10.55
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.95
61%11/18
Match Cards > 3.560%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

59%10/17
18/2217/19
39%7/18
Match Cards > 4.537%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

35%6/17
18/2217/19
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCincinnati at home · Miami on the road
109
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
60%6/10
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

56%5/9
20%2/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

11%1/9
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.22
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.56
30%3/10
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%2/9
70%7/10
BTTS74%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

78%7/9
70%7/10
Over 2.574%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

78%7/9
1.26
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.08
1.11
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.71