Liga MX·
Clausura - 8·02/22/2025·18:00
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
WWLWL
0-4
Finished
HT0-3
Toluca
Toluca
WDWDL
📍 Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
Season statsLiga MX
Juarez24matchesToluca26matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga MX.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
64%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1493
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1611
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

59%
62%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

72%
2.41
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.95

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2426
1.25
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.81
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

31%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
21%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

15%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2426
1.21
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.96
75%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

85%
75%
Over 1.582%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

88%
63%
Over 2.562%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%
38%
Over 3.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
54%
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

62%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

27%
17%
Scored Both Halves31%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

46%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2426
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.15
14.57
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.62
23/24
5.30
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.35
23/24
3.48
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.23
23/24
66%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
23/24
21%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2426
1.46
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.23
1.81
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.59
-0.36
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.64
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.35
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2426
12.09
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.27
23/24
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.65
23/24
6.43
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.44
23/2425/26
53%
Box Shot %55%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

57%
23/24
33%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

40%
23/24
10%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
23/24

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2426
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
23/24
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
23/2425/26
370.83
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

473.56
23/2425/26
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2426
29%7/24
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%13/26
38%9/24
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

35%9/26
33%8/24
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

15%4/26
54%13/24
HT/FT Same Outcome56%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

58%15/26
57%4/7
Led at HT → Won67%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

77%10/13
0%0/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 24/2426/262426
3%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
17%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
17%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
30%
46-60'26%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
23%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
10%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 24/2426/262426
50%12/24
Scored First59%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

68%17/25
50%12/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

32%8/25
67%8/12
Win when Scoring First72%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

76%13/17
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First4%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/8
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 24/2426/262426
13%3/24
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

42%11/26
58%14/24
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%7/26
67%8/12
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%9/10
33%4/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%1/10
29%7/24
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

19%5/26

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 24/2426/262426
90%27/30
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%47/49
7%2/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/49
3%1/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/49
14%6/43
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/32
0%0/43
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%3/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2426
4.87
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.65
23/24
5.43
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.77
23/24
47%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

49%
23/24
0.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.04
65%15/23
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

65%17/26
23/24
52%12/23
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

54%14/26
23/24
39%9/23
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

31%8/26
23/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 24/2426/262426
2.43
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.96
23/24
9%2/23
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%3/26
23/24
11.52
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.42
23/24
65%13/20
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

62%13/21
20/2421/26
60%12/20
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

38%8/21
20/2421/26
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeJuarez at home · Toluca on the road
1113
1.27
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.31
36%4/11
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

31%4/13
45%5/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%4/13
1.27
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.46
1.45
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.46
27%3/11
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%2/13
64%7/11
BTTS66%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

69%9/13
55%6/11
Over 2.554%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

54%7/13
1.61
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.99
1.73
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.02