Liga MX·
Clausura - 6·02/08/2025·20:00
Leon
Leon
WWWWW
3-3
Finished
HT2-0
Toluca
Toluca
WDLDW
📍 Estadio León, León de los Aldamas
Season statsLiga MX
Leon22matchesToluca24matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga MX.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
83%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1554
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1601
73%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
93%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

63%
2.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.68

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2224
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.79
36%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
41%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
23%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
27%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%
18%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

17%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2224
1.36
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.92
82%
Scored > 0.583%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

83%
77%
Over 1.582%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

88%
59%
Over 2.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

58%
27%
Over 3.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
68%
BTTS63%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
23%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
32%
Scored Both Halves39%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

46%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2224
1.23
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.08
13.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.79
4.91
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.42
3.82
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.38
78%
Save %77%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

76%
27%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2224
1.80
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.06
1.24
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
0.56
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.65
-0.34
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2224
11.91
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.96
4.18
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.54
6.64
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.43
23/24
56%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

58%
35%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

40%
11%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2224
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
23/24
388.73
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

462.87
23/24
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2224
23%5/22
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%12/24
59%13/22
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%9/24
18%4/22
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

13%3/24
55%12/22
HT/FT Same Outcome56%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

58%14/24
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won68%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%9/12
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered29%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 22/2224/242224
25%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
9%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
13%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
9%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
25%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
19%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 22/2224/242224
63%12/19
Scored First66%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

70%16/23
37%7/19
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

30%7/23
58%7/12
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%12/16
14%1/7
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/7
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 22/2224/242224
18%4/22
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

42%10/24
32%7/22
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%6/24
60%6/10
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%9/10
40%4/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%1/10
14%3/22
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

17%4/24

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 22/2224/242224
84%27/32
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%43/45
9%3/32
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/45
6%2/32
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/45
12%3/25
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/27
0%0/25
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%2/27

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2224
4.95
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.63
5.68
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.92
47%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
-1.30
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.29
77%17/22
Match Corners > 8.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%16/24
68%15/22
Match Corners > 9.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

54%13/24
36%8/22
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%8/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 22/2224/242224
2.09
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
18%4/22
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%3/24
12.91
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.33
89%17/19
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

60%12/20
19/2220/24
68%13/19
Match Cards > 4.552%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

35%7/20
19/2220/24
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLeon at home · Toluca on the road
1112
1.64
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.33
36%4/11
Win Rate35%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%4/12
9%1/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%4/12
1.09
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
0.55
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
55%6/11
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%2/12
45%5/11
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%8/12
27%3/11
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
1.41
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.79
0.76
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.82