NM Cupen·
Final·12/07/2024·10:00
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
WWDDD
0-0
Penalties
HT0-0PEN1-0
Molde
Molde
LLWDL
📍 Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo

Stats below use each team's main league —EliteserienNorway

Last 10NM Cupen
Fredrikstad10matchesMolde10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
68%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

45%
1634
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1656
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
71%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

38%
1.81
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.52

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.10
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
50%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

40%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
80%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

60%
50%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
30%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
20%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
40%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
13.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.44
8/109/10
4.13
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.11
8/109/10
3.13
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.44
8/109/10
76%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

59%
8/109/10
50%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.33
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.70
0.96
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.16
0.37
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.54
-0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.03
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
10.88
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.56
8/109/10
3.13
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.89
8/109/10
7.13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.11
8/109/10
66%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
8/109/10
29%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
8/109/10
13%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
8/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
45%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
8/109/10
72%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
8/109/10
413.38
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

452.89
8/109/10
-0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%3/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
33%1/3
Led at HT → Won54%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
8%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
0%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

29%
25%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
25%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
8%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
33%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
89%8/9
Scored First64%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
11%1/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

60%6/10
75%6/8
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%3/4
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/6
55'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

25'
12'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
92%11/12
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%12/14
8%1/12
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/14
0%0/12
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/14
13%1/8
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/13
0%0/8
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/13

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
3.13
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.22
8/109/10
4.13
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.78
8/109/10
43%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
8/109/10
-0.24
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.02
25%2/8
Match Corners > 8.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

44%4/9
8/109/10
25%2/8
Match Corners > 9.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%4/9
8/109/10
13%1/8
Match Corners > 10.528%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

44%4/9
8/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.75
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.56
8/109/10
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
8/109/10
9.63
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.89
8/109/10
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%4/6
8/106/10
50%4/8
Match Cards > 4.558%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%4/6
8/106/10
79%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFredrikstad at home · Molde on the road
56
2.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.17
60%3/5
Win Rate47%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%2/6
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%3/6
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
40%2/5
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
60%3/5
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%2/6
40%2/5
Over 2.553%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%4/6
1.42
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.59
0.84
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.16