Coupe de France·
7th Round·11/16/2024·11:00
Saumur
Saumur
LLDLW
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Concarneau
Concarneau
LLDWW
📍 Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
Last 10Coupe de France
Saumur10matchesConcarneau10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1283
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1459

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
90%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
90%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
60%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
40%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
80%
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

70%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
30%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
0.98
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.88
1.00
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.03
-0.03
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.15
0.62
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.41
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT20%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

40%4/10
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%2/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
0%
0-15'4%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
7%
16-30'3%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
33%
31-45'24%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
13%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
13%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
33%
76-90+'35%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

36%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored First36%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

22%2/9
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

78%7/9
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First45%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%1/2
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First31%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

43%3/7
53'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
25'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
50%5/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
67%2/3
Lead Saved after 75'67%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%2/3
33%1/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%1/3
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

30%3/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
93%14/15
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%13/14
0%0/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/14
7%1/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/14
7%1/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

23%3/13
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%1/13

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.34

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
0/0
Match Cards > 3.5

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%8/10
0/10
0/0
Match Cards > 4.5

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%5/10
0/10
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

60%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSaumur at home · Concarneau on the road
64
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
17%1/6
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
33%2/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
0%0/6
Clean Sheet0%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
100%6/6
BTTS88%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
67%4/6
Over 2.571%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
0.92
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.86
0.99
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.39