Cup·
4th Round·08/18/2024·10:00
Lille
Lille
WDLLL
1-2
Finished
HT1-1
Merelbeke
Merelbeke
LWLWL
📍 Heggestadion, Poederlee
Last 10Cup
Lille10matchesMerelbeke10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1500
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1557

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
20%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.10
70%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
60%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%
20%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
17%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

33%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.30
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.60
20%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.03
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.43
1.65
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.20
0.38
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.23
-0.41
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.37

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
33%2/6
Leading at HT42%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%3/6
50%3/6
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

17%1/6
17%1/6
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%2/6
67%4/6
HT/FT Same Outcome67%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%4/6
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Scored First

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

0%0/1
0/0
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

100%1/1
0/0
Win when Conceding First

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/1
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Scored after 75'

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

0%0/1
0/0
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

100%1/1
0/0
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/1

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/5
0/0
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/5

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLille at home · Merelbeke on the road
64
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
67%4/6
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
33%2/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
2.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.50
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
33%2/6
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
50%3/6
BTTS63%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
67%4/6
Over 2.571%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
2.10
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.49
1.53
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.36