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National 1·
Regular Season - 22·02/21/2025·13:30
Dijon
Dijon
DLDDW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Nancy
Nancy
WLWWL
📍 Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon
OverviewIntelligenceStats
1x2Over/UnderBTTSHandicapsCornersCards
Season statsNational 1
Dijon19matchesNancy21matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in National 1.

Coverage varies by league·top-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshot·every value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.
Season statsNational 1Dijon19Nancy21

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
19·21matches

Portal Pulse

PRO
72%Consensus
8/11
Confidence16+ portals

Aggregated community signal

Consensus across 16+ football prediction portals — confidence, pick distribution and herd indicators on every market.

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Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
19·21matches

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
19·21matches

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
19·21matches
Match IntelligencePRO

AI verdict & confidence, fair-vs-market edge and tactical breakdown for this match.

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HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
19·21matches

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
19/19available data21/21available data

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
19/19available data21/21available data

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
19/19available data21/21available data
Model vs Market — 6 MarketsPRO

Model probabilities next to bookmaker odds on every market, value-flagged where they diverge — 1X2, O/U, BTTS, handicaps, corners & cards.

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Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
19/19available data21/21available data

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
19/19available data21/21available data

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDijon at home · Nancy on the road
10·12matches
1420
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1408
63%
LTQ

Long-term quality: league- and opponent-adjusted performance over the last 20 matches, comparable across leagues.

55%
48%
Hype

Current form: league- and opponent-adjusted performance over the last 10 matches, newest weighted heaviest.

55%
3.20
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.59
1.47
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.86
37%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

57%
37%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

14%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
53%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

48%
42%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%
1.05
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.48
58%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
53%
Over 1.562%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

71%
32%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%
21%
Over 3.522%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

24%
26%
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%
5%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

14%
16%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

24%
0.95
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
53%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

48%
1.66
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.74
1.46
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.53
0.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.20
-0.27
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.25
26%
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

34%
53%
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%
21%
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%
74%
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

52%
100%
Led at HT → Won93%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

86%
25%
Trailed at HT → Recovered34%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

43%
10%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
15%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
15%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
20%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
25%
61-75'22%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
15%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

35%
53%
Scored First59%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

65%
47%
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

35%
88%
Win when Scoring First82%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

77%
0%
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

18'
16%
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

48%
11%
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%
88%
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%
13%
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%
0%
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

19%
100%
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%
0%
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%
0%
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%
0%
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

10%
0%
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%
2.21
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
11%
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%
68%
Match Cards > 3.570%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%
53%
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

48%
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%
1.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
50%
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
1.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
70%
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%
10%
BTTS26%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
30%
Over 2.540%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
1.85
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.75
1.33
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.72
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