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National 1·
Regular Season - 21·02/14/2025·10:30
Quevilly
Quevilly
DLDLL
1-2
Finished
HT0-2
Chateauroux
Chateauroux
LDWDL
📍 Stade Robert Diochon, Le Petit-Quevilly
OverviewIntelligenceStats
1x2Over/UnderBTTSHandicapsCornersCards
Season statsNational 1
Quevilly19matchesChateauroux19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in National 1.

Coverage varies by league·top-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshot·every value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.
Season statsNational 1Quevilly19Chateauroux19

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
19·19matches

Portal Pulse

PRO
72%Consensus
8/11
Confidence16+ portals

Aggregated community signal

Consensus across 16+ football prediction portals — confidence, pick distribution and herd indicators on every market.

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Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
19·19matches

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
19·19matches

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
19·19matches
Match IntelligencePRO

AI verdict & confidence, fair-vs-market edge and tactical breakdown for this match.

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Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
19·19matches

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
19·19matches

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
19/19available data19/19available data

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
19/19available data19/19available data

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
19/19available data19/19available data
Model vs Market — 6 MarketsPRO

Model probabilities next to bookmaker odds on every market, value-flagged where they diverge — 1X2, O/U, BTTS, handicaps, corners & cards.

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Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
19/19available data19/19available data

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
19·19matches

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
19/19available data19/19available data

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeQuevilly at home · Chateauroux on the road
9·10matches
1398
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1295
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality: league- and opponent-adjusted performance over the last 20 matches, comparable across leagues.

42%
45%
Hype

Current form: league- and opponent-adjusted performance over the last 10 matches, newest weighted heaviest.

48%
2.49
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.35
1.21
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.74
32%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

16%
26%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
42%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

58%
26%
Clean Sheet18%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%
37%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

37%
1.05
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.11
63%
Scored > 0.563%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
68%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
26%
Over 2.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

58%
11%
Over 3.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

47%
42%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
21%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%
1.21
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.16
26%
Clean Sheet18%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%
1.45
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.38
1.45
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.49
-0.00
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.10
-0.24
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.22
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

—
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

—
32%
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

21%
37%
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

42%
31%
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

37%
68%
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

58%
83%
Led at HT → Won67%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%
17%
Trailed at HT → Recovered15%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

14%
15%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
14%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
14%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
14%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
19%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
24%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%
50%
Scored First39%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

28%
50%
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

72%
56%
Win when Scoring First48%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%
11%
Win when Conceding First9%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

8%
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'
26%
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%
32%
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

42%
56%
Lead Saved after 75'53%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%
44%
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%
11%
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%
86%
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%
5%
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%
10%
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%
14%
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%
5%
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%
0.80
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

—
2.53
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.16
16%
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

26%
74%
Match Cards > 3.568%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

63%
53%
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%
1.22
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.40
33%
Win Rate17%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%
44%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
0.89
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.70
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.10
22%
Clean Sheet16%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
44%
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
33%
Over 2.547%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
1.39
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.05
1.56
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.03
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    Mt Druitt Town vs Marconi Stallions
    Sydney Olympic vs Western Sydney W. II
    Green Gully vs Oakleigh Cannons
    Heidelberg United vs Melbourne Victory II
    Dandenong City vs Preston Lions
    Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder
    Avondale vs Port Melbourne
    Altona Magic vs St. Albans Saints
    Hassania Agadir vs Moghreb Tetouan
    CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
    Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb
    Manta FC vs Barcelona SC
    Andalus vs Kasiysi
    2 de Mayo vs Atlético Tembetary
    General Caballero vs Sportivo Luqueno
    Mineros de Zacatecas vs CDS Tampico Madero
    Tepatitlán vs Tapatío
    Semen Padang vs Persita
    Persik Kediri vs Persis Solo