Serie B·
Regular Season - 2·08/23/2024·14:30
Modena
Modena
LDDWW
2-1
Finished
HT1-1
Bari
Bari
LDWDW
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Last 10Serie B
Modena10matchesBari10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1433
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1425
53%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
53%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

58%
2.29
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.17

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.30
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.70
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

50%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
50%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
60%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
50%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
50%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
30%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
40%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
20%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
13.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.86
8/107/10
3.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.14
8/107/10
2.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.43
8/107/10
71%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

77%
8/107/10
50%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.11
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.42
1.38
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.67
-0.27
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.25
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
8.13
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.71
8/107/10
2.88
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.71
8/107/10
4.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.29
8/107/10
49%
Box Shot %49%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

49%
8/107/10
35%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
8/107/10
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%
8/107/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
37%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
8/107/10
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
8/107/10
325.88
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

359.71
8/107/10
-0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.00

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
70%7/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome75%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

80%8/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
6%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
6%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
38%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
0%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
13%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
38%
76-90+'35%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%4/8
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
50%4/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%5/10
75%3/4
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

20%1/5
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
52'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

40%4/10
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
69%11/16
Open-Play Share72%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%18/24
31%5/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

25%6/24
0%0/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/24
40%6/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

33%6/18
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/18

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
3.38
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.29
8/107/10
4.25
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.71
8/107/10
44%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

70%
8/107/10
0.03
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.15
25%2/8
Match Corners > 8.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%4/7
8/107/10
13%1/8
Match Corners > 9.528%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

43%3/7
8/107/10
13%1/8
Match Corners > 10.513%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

14%1/7
8/107/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.86
8/107/10
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%1/7
8/107/10
12.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.29
8/107/10
75%6/8
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%3/6
8/106/10
38%3/8
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%3/6
8/106/10
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeModena at home · Bari on the road
54
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
40%2/5
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/4
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.25
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
60%3/5
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
40%2/5
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
60%3/5
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.13
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.31
1.32
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.90