Primera A·
Clausura - 18·11/12/2024·18:20
Once Caldas
Once Caldas
LLDWL
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Junior
Junior
DDWWL
📍 Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Season statsPrimera A
Caldas42matchesJunior41matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera A.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
41%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

63%
1510
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1560
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
28%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
2.19
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.02

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4241
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.49
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

39%
24%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
31%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
36%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

37%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4241
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
67%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
60%
Over 1.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

59%
29%
Over 2.534%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

39%
5%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

24%
40%
BTTS41%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

41%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
19%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4241
0.86
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.05
10.83
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.17
24/4223/41
3.71
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.13
24/4223/41
3.09
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.13
23/4223/41
80%
Save %78%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

76%
24/4223/41
36%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4241
1.27
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.43
1.30
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.09
-0.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.34
-0.20
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4241
12.83
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.13
24/4223/41
3.71
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.91
24/4223/41
6.22
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.91
23/4223/41
46%
Box Shot %50%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

53%
24/4223/41
29%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
24/4223/41
9%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
24/4223/41

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4241
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
23/4223/41
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
23/4223/41
353.83
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

429.96
23/4223/41
0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4241
24%10/42
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

27%11/41
45%19/42
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

39%16/41
31%13/42
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

34%14/41
67%28/42
HT/FT Same Outcome67%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

68%28/41
90%9/10
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

91%10/11
23%3/13
Trailed at HT → Recovered29%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

36%5/14

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 42/4241/414241
19%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
14%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
14%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
12%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
17%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
24%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 42/4241/414241
45%17/38
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%19/34
55%21/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%15/34
88%15/17
Win when Scoring First81%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

74%14/19
19%4/21
Win when Conceding First16%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

13%2/15
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

32'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 42/4241/414241
24%10/42
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%12/41
21%9/42
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

15%6/41
92%12/13
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%14/16
8%1/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

13%2/16
10%4/42
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%8/41

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 42/4241/414241
81%34/42
Open-Play Share77%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

73%37/51
17%7/42
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

22%11/51
2%1/42
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%3/51
13%5/39
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

17%7/41
3%1/39
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%2/41

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4241
4.30
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.78
23/4223/41
4.09
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.43
23/4223/41
51%
Corner Share55%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
23/4223/41
0.97
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.89
48%11/23
Match Corners > 8.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

43%10/23
23/4223/41
35%8/23
Match Corners > 9.530%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

26%6/23
23/4223/41
17%4/23
Match Corners > 10.520%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

22%5/23
23/4223/41

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 42/4241/414241
2.79
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.70
24/4223/41
0%0/24
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

17%4/23
24/4223/41
11.54
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.04
24/4223/41
92%35/38
Match Cards > 3.592%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

92%34/37
38/4237/41
84%32/38
Match Cards > 4.579%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

73%27/37
38/4237/41
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCaldas at home · Junior on the road
2120
1.90
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.85
57%12/21
Win Rate36%

Share of sampled matches won.

15%3/20
24%5/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

45%9/20
1.19
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.65
0.71
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
43%9/21
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%8/20
38%8/21
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

25%5/20
33%7/21
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%5/20
1.55
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.44
1.09
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.09