Premiership·
1st Phase - 30·03/16/2025·08:30
Celtic
Celtic
WWWLD
2-3
Finished
HT0-2
Rangers
Rangers
LWLWL
📍 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Season statsPremiership
Celtic29matchesRangers29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
83%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1807
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1719
76%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

61%
89%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

42%
4.09
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.26

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2929
2.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.03
83%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

62%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

17%
7%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
66%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%
7%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2929
3.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.03
93%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
93%
Over 1.584%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
76%
Over 2.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%
45%
Over 3.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

31%
31%
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%
21%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
62%
Scored Both Halves52%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

41%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2929
0.59
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.90
7.41
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.07
2.86
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.83
2.28
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.00
80%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
66%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2929
3.38
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.35
1.22
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.59
2.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.76
-0.56
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.22
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2929
19.14
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

19.31
7.31
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.76
12.72
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

11.45
66%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

59%
38%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
16%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2929
75%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

64%
89%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
724.24
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

547.41
0.35
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.13

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2929
69%20/29
Leading at HT59%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%14/29
21%6/29
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

28%8/29
10%3/29
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%7/29
79%23/29
HT/FT Same Outcome72%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

66%19/29
95%19/20
Led at HT → Won94%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

93%13/14
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered38%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

43%3/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 29/2929/292929
7%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
17%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
21%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
15%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
15%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

23%
25%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 29/2929/292929
89%25/28
Scored First71%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

54%15/28
11%3/28
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

46%13/28
92%23/25
Win when Scoring First93%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

93%14/15
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First32%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

31%4/13
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

18'
17'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 29/2929/292929
62%18/29
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

28%8/29
14%4/29
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

14%4/29
95%20/21
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

94%16/17
5%1/21
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

6%1/17
24%7/29
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

7%2/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 29/2929/292929
90%78/87
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%55/57
9%8/87
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/57
1%1/87
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/57
12%2/17
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%2/28
6%1/17
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

11%3/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2929
8.86
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

7.07
3.03
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.34
74%
Corner Share68%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
3.39
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.96
79%23/29
Match Corners > 8.581%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

83%24/29
69%20/29
Match Corners > 9.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

76%22/29
62%18/29
Match Corners > 10.557%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

52%15/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 29/2929/292929
0.97
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.86
0%0/29
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%2/29
9.21
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.90
70%14/20
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%20/25
20/2925/29
40%8/20
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

48%12/25
20/2925/29
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeltic at home · Rangers on the road
1414
2.86
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.57
93%13/14
Win Rate68%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%6/14
0%0/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%4/14
3.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.64
0.21
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.29
86%12/14
Clean Sheet57%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%4/14
14%2/14
BTTS36%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%8/14
79%11/14
Over 2.571%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

64%9/14
3.82
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.56
0.56
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77