League Two·
Regular Season - 32·02/15/2025·07:30
Doncaster
Doncaster
LLWWW
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Grimsby
Grimsby
WWDLD
📍 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
Season statsLeague Two
Doncaster30matchesGrimsby30matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1526
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1388
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

48%
45%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

64%
2.96
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.72

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3030
1.73
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

47%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
23%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3030
1.47
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
73%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

77%
50%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%
27%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
60%
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

23%
27%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3030
1.23
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.53
9.20
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.40
3.10
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.27
1.77
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.63
57%
Save %59%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
23%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3030
1.64
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.72
1.73
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.75
-0.09
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.03
-0.27
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3030
14.27
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.37
4.67
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.10
9.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.00
68%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

70%
33%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3030
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
72%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
364.17
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

342.77
0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3030
40%12/30
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%10/30
30%9/30
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%9/30
30%9/30
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

37%11/30
63%19/30
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%18/30
83%10/12
Led at HT → Won82%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%8/10
33%3/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

27%3/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 30/3030/303030
9%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
14%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
23%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
11%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
18%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
25%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 30/3030/303030
62%18/29
Scored First59%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

55%16/29
38%11/29
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

45%13/29
83%15/18
Win when Scoring First79%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%12/16
0%0/11
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

15%2/13
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 30/3030/303030
40%12/30
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

23%7/30
23%7/30
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%9/30
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'92%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

92%12/13
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

8%1/13
13%4/30
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%6/30

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 30/3030/303030
95%42/44
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%37/42
2%1/44
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%4/42
2%1/44
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/42
5%2/37
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%2/46
3%1/37
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/46

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3030
5.87
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.47
4.93
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.27
54%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

46%
0.63
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.51
73%22/30
Match Corners > 8.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%18/30
53%16/30
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%15/30
47%14/30
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

37%11/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 30/3030/303030
1.93
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.23
13%4/30
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%3/30
12.30
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.43
82%18/22
Match Cards > 3.581%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

81%21/26
22/3026/30
68%15/22
Match Cards > 4.569%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

69%18/26
22/3026/30
58%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDoncaster at home · Grimsby on the road
1515
1.87
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.47
53%8/15
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

47%7/15
20%3/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

47%7/15
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.27
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.47
27%4/15
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%6/15
60%9/15
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%7/15
47%7/15
Over 2.553%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%9/15
1.51
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.56
1.43
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.93