League Two·
Regular Season - 16·11/16/2024·10:00
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WDLDD
1-3
Finished
HT1-1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
LWLLW
📍 SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
Season statsLeague Two
Barrow15matchesWimbledon12matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

45%
1404
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1494
43%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
51%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

38%
1.87
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.41

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1512
1.47
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.58
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
27%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

8%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

42%
27%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

42%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1512
1.07
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
67%
Scored > 0.563%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

58%
60%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
20%
Over 2.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%
7%
Over 3.516%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
40%
BTTS28%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

17%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
7%
Scored Both Halves16%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1512
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.83
8.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.75
3.20
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.92
2.47
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.92
77%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

66%
27%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1512
1.23
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.73
1.43
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.37
-0.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.36
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1512
11.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.50
4.20
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.83
6.07
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.50
55%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

70%
38%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
10%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1512
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

69%
362.73
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

328.83
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1512
47%7/15
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%4/12
27%4/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

42%5/12
27%4/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%3/12
40%6/15
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%8/12
43%3/7
Led at HT → Won71%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1512/121512
13%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
25%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
13%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

12%
13%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
6%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

24%
31%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1512/121512
60%9/15
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

45%5/11
40%6/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

55%6/11
56%5/9
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
17%1/6
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%1/6
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1512/121512
20%3/15
Scored after 75'18%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

17%2/12
40%6/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

8%1/12
56%5/9
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%6/6
44%4/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/6
33%5/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

8%1/12

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1512/121512
100%16/16
Open-Play Share97%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%16/17
0%0/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/17
0%0/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/17
17%2/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/11
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%1/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1512
5.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.75
4.73
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.00
51%
Corner Share59%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

66%
0.69
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.71
67%10/15
Match Corners > 8.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

42%5/12
53%8/15
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

42%5/12
47%7/15
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%3/12

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1512/121512
1.93
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.17
7%1/15
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/12
11.27
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.92
86%12/14
Match Cards > 3.584%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

82%9/11
14/1511/12
79%11/14
Match Cards > 4.571%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

64%7/11
14/1511/12
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBarrow at home · Wimbledon on the road
86
1.88
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.67
50%4/8
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
13%1/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

67%4/6
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.50
0.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
38%3/8
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
50%4/8
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

17%1/6
25%2/8
Over 2.521%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

17%1/6
1.68
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.39
1.00
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.66