League Two·
Regular Season - 15·11/09/2024·10:00
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
WLLWL
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Grimsby
Grimsby
LDLWL
📍 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Season statsLeague Two
Wimbledon11matchesGrimsby14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

37%
1507
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1358
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

43%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

31%
2.91
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.61

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1114
1.73
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
55%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
9%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
36%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
55%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
36%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1114
1.64
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.29
64%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
55%
Over 1.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

71%
45%
Over 2.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

71%
27%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

36%
18%
BTTS41%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

29%
27%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1114
0.82
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.79
7.73
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.43
2.91
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.43
1.91
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.50
66%
Save %61%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

56%
55%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1114
1.91
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.25
1.39
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.01
0.52
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.76
-0.35
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.19
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1114
13.27
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.00
4.82
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.64
9.45
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.21
71%
Box Shot %72%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
36%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1114
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
68%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
318.64
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

341.29
-0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1114
36%4/11
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%5/14
45%5/11
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

21%3/14
18%2/11
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

43%6/14
64%7/11
HT/FT Same Outcome64%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%9/14
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered8%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1114/141114
18%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
12%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

22%
12%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
18%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

28%
24%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
18%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1114/141114
50%5/10
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%7/14
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%7/14
100%5/5
Win when Scoring First93%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%6/7
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

19'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1114/141114
18%2/11
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%3/14
9%1/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%4/14
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%6/6
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/6
9%1/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%3/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1114/141114
94%16/17
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%17/18
6%1/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/18
0%0/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/18
0%0/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/25
10%1/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/25

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1114
5.73
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.86
3.18
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.07
64%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

43%
0.35
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.75
45%5/11
Match Corners > 8.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%8/14
45%5/11
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

43%6/14
27%3/11
Match Corners > 10.524%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

21%3/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1114/141114
2.18
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.79
0%0/11
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%2/14
15.09
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.57
80%8/10
Match Cards > 3.590%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%11/11
10/1111/14
60%6/10
Match Cards > 4.580%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

100%11/11
10/1111/14
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWimbledon at home · Grimsby on the road
57
3.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.71
100%5/5
Win Rate79%

Share of sampled matches won.

57%4/7
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%3/7
3.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.29
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.43
80%4/5
Clean Sheet54%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%2/7
20%1/5
BTTS39%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%4/7
80%4/5
Over 2.569%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
2.33
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.32
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.50