League Two·
Regular Season - 10·10/05/2024·07:30
Grimsby
Grimsby
WWWLL
0-3
Finished
HT0-3
Doncaster
Doncaster
WLDDL
📍 Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
Season statsLeague Two
Grimsby9matchesDoncaster9matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
67%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1469
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1536
53%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

56%
80%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

46%
2.86
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.61

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
99
1.67
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.78
56%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

56%
0%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

11%
44%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
22%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
11%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

22%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
99
1.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
89%
Scored > 0.583%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

78%
67%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
67%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%
33%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
67%
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
33%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

22%
33%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

22%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
99
1.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
12.22
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.67
3.78
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
2.11
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.44
56%
Save %52%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

48%
22%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
99
1.55
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.82
1.87
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.65
-0.32
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
99
10.11
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.44
3.56
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.22
7.44
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.67
74%
Box Shot %73%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
35%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
14%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
99
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
73%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

73%
357.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

383.00
-0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
99
33%3/9
Leading at HT39%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%4/9
11%1/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

22%2/9
56%5/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%3/9
78%7/9
HT/FT Same Outcome67%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%5/9
100%3/3
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/99/999
0%
0-15'0%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
23%
16-30'28%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

33%
23%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

8%
31%
46-60'24%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
0%
61-75'8%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
23%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/99/999
44%4/9
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%6/9
56%5/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%3/9
100%4/4
Win when Scoring First92%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%5/6
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

37'
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/99/999
22%2/9
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
22%2/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

22%2/9
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
11%1/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

11%1/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/99/999
92%12/13
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%12/12
8%1/13
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/12
0%0/13
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
0%0/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

17%2/12
0%0/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
99
4.56
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.89
5.33
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.89
46%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
-0.46
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.72
67%6/9
Match Corners > 8.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
44%4/9
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%4/9
33%3/9
Match Corners > 10.533%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%3/9

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/99/999
2.89
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.78
11%1/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

22%2/9
13.44
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.22
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%5/7
8/97/9
75%6/8
Match Cards > 4.566%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%4/7
8/97/9
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGrimsby at home · Doncaster on the road
44
2.25
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
75%3/4
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%1/4
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%2/4
1.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
25%1/4
Clean Sheet13%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/4
75%3/4
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
75%3/4
Over 2.563%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.70
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.93
2.09
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.76