League One·
Regular Season - 45·04/27/2025·09:00
Stevenage
Stevenage
LWLLW
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Rotherham
Rotherham
LDLWW
📍 Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
Season statsLeague One
Stevenage44matchesRotherham44matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
38%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

41%
1455
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1450
39%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

42%
37%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

40%
2.18
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.93

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4444
1.25
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.25
34%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

34%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
43%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
39%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%
39%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

36%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4444
0.91
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.16
61%
Scored > 0.563%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

64%
57%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

64%
36%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%
14%
Over 3.518%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
36%
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
11%
Scored Both Halves17%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

23%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4444
1.09
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
9.18
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.66
3.11
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.41
1.93
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.09
43/44
62%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

69%
39%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4444
1.03
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.48
1.49
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.84
-0.45
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.36
-0.14
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.25
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4444
10.32
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.41
3.27
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.20
6.02
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.18
58%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
32%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
9%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4444
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
67%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

66%
329.55
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

321.18
-0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4444
23%10/44
Leading at HT24%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

25%11/44
50%22/44
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

48%21/44
27%12/44
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

27%12/44
64%28/44
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

52%23/44
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

64%7/11
0%0/12
Trailed at HT → Recovered8%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%2/12

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 44/4444/444444
12%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
12%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
7%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
24%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
12%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
32%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 44/4444/444444
45%17/38
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

39%16/41
55%21/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

61%25/41
76%13/17
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

63%10/16
10%2/21
Win when Conceding First15%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

20%5/25
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

37'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 44/4444/444444
23%10/44
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%9/44
23%10/44
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%11/44
79%11/14
Lead Saved after 75'80%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

82%9/11
21%3/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

18%2/11
20%9/44
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

11%5/44

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 44/4444/444444
90%37/41
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%45/51
5%2/41
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%5/51
5%2/41
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/51
6%3/47
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%5/57
2%1/47
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/57

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4444
4.84
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.70
5.16
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.25
48%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

57%
-0.43
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.68
64%28/44
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

64%28/44
48%21/44
Match Corners > 9.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%22/44
34%15/44
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

43%19/44

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 44/4444/444444
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.43
2%1/44
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/44
12.45
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.89
81%30/37
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

61%22/36
37/4436/44
54%20/37
Match Cards > 4.538%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

22%8/36
37/4436/44
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeStevenage at home · Rotherham on the road
2222
1.41
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.91
41%9/22
Win Rate32%

Share of sampled matches won.

23%5/22
41%9/22
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

55%12/22
1.23
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.82
1.14
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.27
32%7/22
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%6/22
45%10/22
BTTS41%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%8/22
45%10/22
Over 2.536%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

27%6/22
1.36
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.05
1.63
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.45