League One·
Regular Season - 43·04/18/2025·10:00
Reading
Reading
DWWLW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Lincoln
Lincoln
DDWLD
📍 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Season statsLeague One
Reading42matchesLincoln42matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
70%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1568
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1517
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

50%
75%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

63%
2.14
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.34

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4242
1.64
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.31
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

33%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

31%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

36%
29%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4242
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.36
74%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

67%
79%
Over 1.573%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
52%
Over 2.549%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
26%
Over 3.526%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
57%
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
29%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
26%
Scored Both Halves29%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4242
1.21
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
13.43
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.33
4.76
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.14
3.45
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.95
73%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
29%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4242
1.50
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.09
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.30
0.41
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.47
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4242
11.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.67
3.98
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.76
6.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.69
56%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
35%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4242
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

68%
384.90
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

336.43
0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4242
33%14/42
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%12/42
40%17/42
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

48%20/42
26%11/42
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%10/42
62%26/42
HT/FT Same Outcome61%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%25/42
71%10/14
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%9/12
18%2/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered19%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%2/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 42/4242/424242
7%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
21%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
12%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
21%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
23%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
16%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

23%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 42/4242/424242
54%20/37
Scored First51%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

49%18/37
46%17/37
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

51%19/37
80%16/20
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

56%10/18
18%3/17
Win when Conceding First19%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

21%4/19
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 42/4242/424242
21%9/42
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%12/42
19%8/42
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

24%10/42
88%14/16
Lead Saved after 75'84%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%12/15
13%2/16
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%3/15
10%4/42
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

12%5/42

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 42/4242/424242
91%52/57
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%54/57
9%5/57
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%2/57
0%0/57
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/57
9%5/53
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/49
4%2/53
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/49

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4242
4.17
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.17
6.17
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.17
40%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
-0.85
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.19
71%30/42
Match Corners > 8.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

62%26/42
57%24/42
Match Corners > 9.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

43%18/42
48%20/42
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%14/42

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 42/4242/424242
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
7%3/42
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%5/42
11.43
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.17
73%24/33
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%22/32
33/4232/42
36%12/33
Match Cards > 4.542%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

47%15/32
33/4232/42
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeReading at home · Lincoln on the road
2121
2.19
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.05
67%14/21
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

24%5/21
14%3/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%9/21
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
0.76
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.38
43%9/21
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%5/21
48%10/21
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%10/21
48%10/21
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%9/21
1.83
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.60
0.88
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.88