League One·
Regular Season - 22·12/26/2024·10:00
Reading
Reading
LLDDW
4-1
Finished
HT2-0
Northampton
Northampton
LLLWL
📍 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
Season statsLeague One
Reading20matchesNorthampton21matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

23%
1568
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1427
60%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

36%
34%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

9%
2.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.05

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2021
1.55
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

24%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
35%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

48%
20%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

38%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2021
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
80%
Scored > 0.571%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

62%
90%
Over 1.583%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
60%
Over 2.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%
25%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

24%
60%
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%
25%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

14%
25%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

14%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2021
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.62
13.85
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.10
5.25
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.57
3.70
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.90
70%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
20%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2021
1.78
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.02
1.78
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.38
-0.00
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.36
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.11
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2021
12.20
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

8.90
4.40
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.62
6.95
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

4.86
57%
Box Shot %56%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

55%
36%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

41%
12%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2021
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

43%
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

66%
384.40
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

322.76
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.16

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2021
35%7/20
Leading at HT22%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%2/21
25%5/20
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

57%12/21
40%8/20
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%7/21
60%12/20
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

57%12/21
71%5/7
Led at HT → Won86%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
25%2/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 20/2021/212021
10%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
23%
16-30'22%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
17%
31-45'8%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
20%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
20%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
10%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

37%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 20/2021/212021
50%10/20
Scored First39%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

28%5/18
50%10/20
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

72%13/18
80%8/10
Win when Scoring First70%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
10%1/10
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

15%2/13
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

20'
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 20/2021/212021
15%3/20
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%6/21
20%4/20
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%8/21
90%9/10
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
10%1/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
5%1/20
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

29%6/21

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 20/2021/212021
97%29/30
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%18/19
3%1/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%1/19
0%0/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/19
13%4/30
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/36
0%0/30
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%2/36

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2021
4.15
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.48
6.95
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.05
37%
Corner Share37%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

37%
-2.57
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-3.43
85%17/20
Match Corners > 8.573%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

62%13/21
70%14/20
Match Corners > 9.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

48%10/21
55%11/20
Match Corners > 10.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

43%9/21

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 20/2021/212021
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.29
10%2/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%3/21
12.55
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.33
63%10/16
Match Cards > 3.567%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%12/17
16/2017/21
56%9/16
Match Cards > 4.555%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

53%9/17
16/2017/21
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeReading at home · Northampton on the road
911
2.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.64
78%7/9
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

9%1/11
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

55%6/11
1.89
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.91
0.78
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.73
44%4/9
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

9%1/11
33%3/9
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%7/11
56%5/9
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

55%6/11
2.53
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.85
1.23
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.16