League One·
Regular Season - 19·12/07/2024·10:00
Barnsley
Barnsley
LDDLD
1-2
Finished
HT0-0
Birmingham
Birmingham
WWWLD
📍 Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
Season statsLeague One
Barnsley18matchesBirmingham16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

78%
1495
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1633
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

75%
43%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

81%
1.95
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.59

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1816
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.25
39%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

69%
33%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

19%
28%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

13%
17%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

31%
22%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

6%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1816
1.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.88
78%
Scored > 0.586%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

94%
89%
Over 1.588%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

88%
61%
Over 2.552%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%
22%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

31%
61%
BTTS62%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

38%
50%
Scored Both Halves50%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1816
1.28
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.94
10.61
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.63
3.83
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.88
2.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.93
15/16
65%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
17%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

31%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1816
1.41
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.40
1.62
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.97
-0.21
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.43
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.46
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1816
13.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.81
4.72
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.44
8.44
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.81
63%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1816
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

70%
71%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
343.17
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

611.56
0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.34

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1816
56%10/18
Leading at HT50%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%7/16
33%6/18
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%6/16
11%2/18
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

19%3/16
56%10/18
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%8/16
60%6/10
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

86%6/7
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%2/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 18/1816/161816
19%
0-15'20%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
15%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

23%
23%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
15%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
8%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
19%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

23%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 18/1816/161816
61%11/18
Scored First62%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%10/16
39%7/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

38%6/16
64%7/11
Win when Scoring First72%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%8/10
0%0/7
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%3/6
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

23'
48'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 18/1816/161816
28%5/18
Scored after 75'36%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

44%7/16
44%8/18
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

13%2/16
67%6/9
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%9/10
33%3/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%1/10
28%5/18
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

13%2/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 18/1816/161816
92%24/26
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

83%25/30
8%2/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%4/30
0%0/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/30
0%0/23
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/15
0%0/23
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%1/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1816
7.28
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.94
5.11
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.88
59%
Corner Share60%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

61%
0.97
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.27
83%15/18
Match Corners > 8.579%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%12/16
67%12/18
Match Corners > 9.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%9/16
61%11/18
Match Corners > 10.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

31%5/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 18/1816/161816
1.94
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
0%0/18
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%1/16
11.44
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.50
79%11/14
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

79%11/14
14/1814/16
57%8/14
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

64%9/14
14/1814/16
81%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBarnsley at home · Birmingham on the road
98
1.22
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
22%2/9
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

63%5/8
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.56
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.88
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
11%1/9
Clean Sheet18%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%2/8
78%7/9
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%5/8
67%6/9
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%4/8
1.48
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.01
1.76
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.09