League One·
Regular Season - 10·10/05/2024·10:00
Wrexham
Wrexham
LDWLW
4-1
Finished
HT2-1
Northampton
Northampton
LLWLD
📍 STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
Season statsLeague One
Wrexham9matchesNorthampton8matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

37%
1627
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1442
67%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

38%
58%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

35%
2.21
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.15

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
98
1.89
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
56%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

25%
22%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
22%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
56%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

38%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
98
1.56
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
67%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
67%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
56%
Over 2.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%
22%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
33%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
44%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
98
0.78
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.63
11.33
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.63
3.67
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.38
2.78
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.75
76%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
56%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
98
2.02
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.40
1.11
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.96
0.91
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.56
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.23
0.17
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
98
10.11
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.88
3.67
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.75
6.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

4.88
66%
Box Shot %58%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

49%
36%
On-Target %42%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

48%
15%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
98
41%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

67%
333.56
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

344.00
-0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
98
56%5/9
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

13%1/8
33%3/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%4/8
11%1/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%3/8
89%8/9
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

38%3/8
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%2/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/98/898
21%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
29%
16-30'20%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
21%
31-45'11%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
14%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
0%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

22%
14%
76-90+'29%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

44%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/98/898
86%6/7
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

14%1/7
14%1/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

86%6/7
83%5/6
Win when Scoring First42%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0%0/1
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%2/6
17'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

4'
10'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/98/898
22%2/9
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%3/8
11%1/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%4/8
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
0%0/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

25%2/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/98/898
100%14/14
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%8/9
0%0/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%1/9
0%0/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/9
0%0/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/14
0%0/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%1/14

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
98
4.33
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.88
4.78
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.75
48%
Corner Share46%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
0.11
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.71
44%4/9
Match Corners > 8.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%4/8
44%4/9
Match Corners > 9.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%3/8
44%4/9
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%2/8

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/98/898
2.11
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.38
0%0/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%1/8
12.67
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.00
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.594%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%6/6
8/96/8
38%3/8
Match Cards > 4.552%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%4/6
8/96/8
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

59%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWrexham at home · Northampton on the road
43
3.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.33
100%4/4
Win Rate67%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%1/3
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%1/3
2.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
50%2/4
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/3
50%2/4
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%2/3
100%4/4
Over 2.583%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%2/3
2.96
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.58
0.80
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.15