League One·
Regular Season - 8·09/28/2024·10:00
Birmingham
Birmingham
WWDWL
3-2
Finished
HT1-2
Peterborough
Peterborough
DWDWL
📍 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
Last 10League One
Birmingham10matchesPeterborough10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
76%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

62%
1540
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1547
75%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
76%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

67%
2.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.32

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.30
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.70
70%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
20%
Clean Sheet10%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
90%
Over 1.595%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
50%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
30%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
70%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

70%
50%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

50%
40%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.70
8.56
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.67
9/109/10
2.78
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.33
9/109/10
1.67
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.44
9/109/10
60%
Save %58%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

56%
9/109/10
20%
Clean Sheet10%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.68
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.02
1.13
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.85
0.55
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
-0.33
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.33
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.67
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.78
9/109/10
5.56
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.22
9/109/10
8.89
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.78
9/109/10
61%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

63%
9/109/10
38%
On-Target %43%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

48%
9/109/10
11%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
9/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

58%
9/109/10
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
9/109/10
616.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

502.00
9/109/10
0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.22

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

10%1/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered38%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
8%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
24%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
8%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

26%
8%
46-60'9%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
12%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
40%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
60%6/10
Scored First40%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
40%4/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

80%8/10
100%6/6
Win when Scoring First100%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%2/2
25%1/4
Win when Conceding First31%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

38%3/8
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

11'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
72%18/25
Open-Play Share81%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%17/19
24%6/25
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%2/19
4%1/25
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/19
43%6/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%1/17
0%0/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/17

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
7.22
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.22
9/109/10
4.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.56
9/109/10
64%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

39%
9/109/10
0.97
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.25
78%7/9
Match Corners > 8.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
9/109/10
67%6/9
Match Corners > 9.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%6/9
9/109/10
44%4/9
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

44%4/9
9/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.67
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.44
9/109/10
22%2/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
9/109/10
10.56
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

8.67
9/109/10
83%5/6
Match Cards > 3.560%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

38%3/8
6/108/10
67%4/6
Match Cards > 4.533%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/8
6/108/10
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBirmingham at home · Peterborough on the road
65
1.83
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
50%3/6
Win Rate55%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
17%1/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
1.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
0%0/6
Clean Sheet0%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/5
83%5/6
BTTS82%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%4/5
50%3/6
Over 2.565%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%4/5
1.54
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.96
1.19
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77