League One·
Regular Season - 3·08/24/2024·10:00
Wrexham
Wrexham
DLWWW
3-0
Finished
HT2-0
Reading
Reading
WWDDW
📍 STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
Last 10League One
Wrexham10matchesReading10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

73%
1603
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1570
73%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
53%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

78%
3.61
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.78

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
30%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.70
90%
Scored > 0.595%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
80%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
70%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
50%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
70%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
50%
Scored Both Halves42%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

33%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
13.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.33
6/103/10
4.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.67
6/103/10
2.83
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.67
6/103/10
65%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

73%
6/103/10
30%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.42
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.32
1.22
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.67
1.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.65
-0.42
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.43
0.17
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.67
6/103/10
5.17
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.33
6/103/10
8.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.00
6/103/10
67%
Box Shot %61%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

55%
6/103/10
43%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
6/103/10
17%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%
6/103/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
40%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
6/103/10
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

75%
6/103/10
344.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

368.00
6/103/10
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT47%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%4/9
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

44%4/9
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

11%1/9
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome42%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

33%3/9
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won78%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
100%2/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered100%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/108/101010
4%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
17%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
9%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
22%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
26%
61-75'21%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
22%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

32%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/108/101010
67%6/9
Scored First71%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

75%6/8
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

25%2/8
83%5/6
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%5/6
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

38'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

4'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/108/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'44%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%3/8
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%3/8
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

13%1/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/108/101010
96%22/23
Open-Play Share79%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

63%12/19
0%0/23
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

32%6/19
4%1/23
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/19
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

67%6/9
8%1/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.83
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.67
6/103/10
5.83
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.00
6/103/10
45%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
6/103/10
0.72
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.52
67%4/6
Match Corners > 8.583%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

100%3/3
6/103/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 9.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

33%1/3
6/103/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%1/3
6/103/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/108/101010
1.33
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.00
6/103/10
0%0/6
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/3
6/103/10
11.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.00
6/103/10
50%4/8
Match Cards > 3.542%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

33%1/3
8/103/10
25%2/8
Match Cards > 4.529%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

33%1/3
8/103/10
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWrexham at home · Reading on the road
45
2.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.60
75%3/4
Win Rate57%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
1.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
25%1/4
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
75%3/4
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
50%2/4
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
3.08
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.86
0.84
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.17