Championship·
Regular Season - 46·05/03/2025·07:30
West Brom
West Brom
DLLWL
5-3
Finished
HT3-1
Luton
Luton
WWWLD
📍 The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Season statsChampionship
Brom45matchesLuton45matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
34%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

69%
1462
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1417
42%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
26%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

80%
2.04
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.82

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4545
1.36
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.09
31%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

29%
42%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

22%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

49%
31%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
29%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4545
1.16
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.93
71%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

67%
71%
Over 1.568%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

64%
36%
Over 2.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%
16%
Over 3.518%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
56%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
16%
Scored Both Halves11%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

7%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4545
0.98
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.42
10.96
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.07
3.44
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.36
2.51
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.93
73%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
31%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4545
1.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.11
1.05
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.04
0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.07
-0.27
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.20
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4545
12.69
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.47
3.71
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.47
8.07
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.27
64%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
29%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

30%
9%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4545
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

72%
463.16
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

328.89
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4545
31%14/45
Leading at HT28%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

24%11/45
49%22/45
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

49%22/45
20%9/45
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

27%12/45
71%32/45
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

49%22/45
79%11/14
Led at HT → Won62%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

45%5/11
22%2/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered15%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

8%1/12

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 45/4545/454545
15%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
15%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
28%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

12%
7%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
26%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
9%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 45/4545/454545
61%23/38
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

43%18/42
39%15/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

57%24/42
57%13/23
Win when Scoring First50%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

44%8/18
7%1/15
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

21%5/24
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 45/4545/454545
11%5/45
Scored after 75'14%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

18%8/45
27%12/45
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%9/45
70%14/20
Lead Saved after 75'79%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%7/8
30%6/20
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

13%1/8
18%8/45
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

16%7/45

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 45/4545/454545
93%50/54
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%38/41
2%1/54
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%2/41
6%3/54
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/41
2%1/42
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%2/65
2%1/42
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%2/65

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4545
5.47
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.89
4.82
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.87
53%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
0.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.11
69%31/45
Match Corners > 8.573%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%35/45
51%23/45
Match Corners > 9.558%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

64%29/45
44%20/45
Match Corners > 10.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

51%23/45

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 45/4545/454545
1.73
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.96
9%4/45
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

16%7/45
9.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.33
65%24/37
Match Cards > 3.564%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

63%26/41
37/4541/45
49%18/37
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

46%19/41
37/4541/45
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBrom at home · Luton on the road
2222
1.73
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.68
45%10/22
Win Rate32%

Share of sampled matches won.

18%4/22
18%4/22
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

68%15/22
1.27
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.77
0.77
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.91
45%10/22
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%4/22
41%9/22
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%10/22
32%7/22
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%10/22
1.35
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.73
0.88
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.59