Championship·
Regular Season - 45·04/26/2025·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
LWLLW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Norwich
Norwich
LLLDL
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough44matchesNorwich44matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

27%
1499
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1410
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

36%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

18%
2.09
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.38

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4444
1.43
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.20
41%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
39%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

39%
27%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

23%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4444
1.45
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.52
75%
Scored > 0.576%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

77%
66%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

82%
48%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
27%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
52%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

66%
18%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
25%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

23%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4444
1.23
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
10.84
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.52
3.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.86
2.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.39
67%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
27%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4444
1.37
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.24
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.38
-0.19
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.14
-0.15
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.13
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4444
14.32
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.66
4.66
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.09
9.27
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.61
65%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

65%
33%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
10%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4444
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

58%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
510.98
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

526.77
0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.17

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4444
34%15/44
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

27%12/44
39%17/44
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%13/44
27%12/44
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

43%19/44
55%24/44
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

66%29/44
67%10/15
Led at HT → Won67%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%8/12
25%3/12
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

32%6/19

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 44/4444/444444
20%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
18%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
17%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
6%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
26%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 44/4444/444444
60%25/42
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%24/42
40%17/42
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%18/42
64%16/25
Win when Scoring First55%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

46%11/24
12%2/17
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%2/18
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

15'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 44/4444/444444
32%14/44
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%13/44
30%13/44
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%9/44
81%13/16
Lead Saved after 75'74%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%10/15
19%3/16
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%5/15
9%4/44
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

16%7/44

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 44/4444/444444
86%57/66
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%63/66
9%6/66
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/66
5%3/66
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%2/66
0%0/53
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%5/67
4%2/53
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%3/67

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4444
5.14
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.91
4.82
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.84
52%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
0.25
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.54
64%28/44
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

61%27/44
55%24/44
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%22/44
45%20/44
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

41%18/44

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 44/4444/444444
1.52
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.82
5%2/44
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%2/44
9.41
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.70
69%24/35
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

84%31/37
35/4437/44
34%12/35
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

54%20/37
35/4437/44
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Norwich on the road
2222
1.73
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.82
50%11/22
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

18%4/22
27%6/22
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

55%12/22
1.41
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.55
32%7/22
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%4/22
45%10/22
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%12/22
41%9/22
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%10/22
1.37
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.08
1.22
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.22