Championship·
Regular Season - 44·04/21/2025·10:00
Millwall
Millwall
LWWWL
3-1
Finished
HT2-1
Norwich
Norwich
LLDLW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall43matchesNorwich43matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
57%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

36%
1516
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1420
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
62%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

28%
2.05
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.12

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4343
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.23
37%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
28%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
35%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

37%
35%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

23%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4343
0.98
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.53
70%
Scored > 0.573%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

77%
49%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

81%
28%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

51%
16%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
42%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

65%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

19%
2%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

23%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4343
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.47
10.93
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.42
3.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.84
2.40
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.40
72%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
35%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4343
1.10
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.34
1.29
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.34
-0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.00
-0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.06
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4343
11.12
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.84
3.58
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.16
7.95
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.72
72%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

65%
32%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
9%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4343
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

58%
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
314.74
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

527.79
-0.13
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.17

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4343
23%10/43
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

28%12/43
44%19/43
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%13/43
33%14/43
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

42%18/43
53%23/43
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

65%28/43
60%6/10
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%8/12
21%3/14
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%6/18

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 43/4343/434343
11%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
13%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
17%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
17%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
15%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
26%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 43/4343/434343
60%24/40
Scored First59%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%24/41
40%16/40
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%17/41
63%15/24
Win when Scoring First54%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

46%11/24
6%1/16
Win when Conceding First9%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

12%2/17
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

15'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 43/4343/434343
28%12/43
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%13/43
28%12/43
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

21%9/43
65%11/17
Lead Saved after 75'66%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%10/15
35%6/17
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%5/15
12%5/43
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

16%7/43

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 43/4343/434343
87%40/46
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%62/65
4%2/46
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/65
9%4/46
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%2/65
5%2/42
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%5/64
0%0/42
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%3/64

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4343
4.86
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.93
5.40
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.84
47%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
-1.08
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.67
65%28/43
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%26/43
63%27/43
Match Corners > 9.557%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

51%22/43
47%20/43
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

42%18/43

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 43/4343/434343
1.70
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.79
2%1/43
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%2/43
13.02
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.77
58%18/31
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

83%30/36
31/4336/43
45%14/31
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%20/36
31/4336/43
78%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Norwich on the road
2121
1.62
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.86
48%10/21
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

19%4/21
33%7/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

52%11/21
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
0.86
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.48
33%7/21
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%4/21
38%8/21
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%11/21
29%6/21
Over 2.536%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%9/21
1.18
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.17
0.81
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.14