Championship·
Regular Season - 41·04/08/2025·15:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
WWDWL
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Leeds
Leeds
DDDWL
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough40matchesLeeds40matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
67%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1561
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1683
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

61%
80%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

43%
1.91
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.80

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4040
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.05
43%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

57%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
35%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
30%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

53%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

18%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4040
1.52
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.98
78%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

83%
68%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
48%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%
30%
Over 3.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

28%
53%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%
18%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
25%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

45%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4040
1.23
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.70
10.38
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

6.63
3.55
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.35
2.35
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.65
66%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

70%
30%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

53%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4040
1.17
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.70
1.26
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.82
-0.10
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.88
0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.21
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4040
14.10
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.43
4.65
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.55
9.20
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

11.15
65%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4040
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

61%
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
509.40
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

532.15
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.20

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4040
35%14/40
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

45%18/40
38%15/40
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

28%11/40
28%11/40
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

28%11/40
57%23/40
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

68%27/40
71%10/14
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

94%17/18
27%3/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

73%8/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 40/4040/404040
18%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
13%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
19%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

9%
18%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
6%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
26%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 40/4040/404040
61%23/38
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

65%24/37
39%15/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

35%13/37
65%15/23
Win when Scoring First74%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%20/24
13%2/15
Win when Conceding First18%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

23%3/13
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 40/4040/404040
33%13/40
Scored after 75'39%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

45%18/40
30%12/40
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

15%6/40
87%13/15
Lead Saved after 75'89%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%19/21
13%2/15
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%2/21
8%3/40
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

25%10/40

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 40/4040/404040
89%55/62
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%72/78
6%4/62
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%3/78
5%3/62
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%3/78
0%0/48
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

13%4/30
4%2/48
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

13%4/30

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4040
5.03
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

7.22
5.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.05
50%
Corner Share60%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

70%
-0.83
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

4.12
65%26/40
Match Corners > 8.570%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%30/40
55%22/40
Match Corners > 9.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

63%25/40
45%18/40
Match Corners > 10.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%20/40

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 40/4040/404040
1.55
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.52
5%2/40
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/40
9.40
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.75
70%23/33
Match Cards > 3.562%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

55%17/31
33/4031/40
33%11/33
Match Cards > 4.538%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%13/31
33/4031/40
58%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Leeds on the road
2020
1.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.65
50%10/20
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%8/20
25%5/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

15%3/20
1.45
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.85
35%7/20
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%9/20
45%9/20
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%8/20
40%8/20
Over 2.535%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%6/20
1.19
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.75
1.20
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.86