Championship·
Regular Season - 29·01/25/2025·10:00
Preston
Preston
WDWDL
2-1
Finished
HT1-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
WLLDW
📍 Deepdale, Preston
Season statsChampionship
Preston28matchesMiddlesbrough28matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
64%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

50%
1477
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1533
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
68%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

46%
2.51
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.02

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2828
1.21
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.57
25%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

43%
46%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
29%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

21%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2828
1.07
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.64
75%
Scored > 0.577%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

79%
71%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

68%
43%
Over 2.543%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%
29%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
57%
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
7%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

14%
11%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2828
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.21
11.07
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.50
3.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
2.44
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.79
27/28
63%
Save %61%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2828
1.39
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.19
1.03
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.13
0.36
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.06
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.40
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2828
9.96
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.29
3.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.93
6.36
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.79
64%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
35%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2828
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
27/28
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

86%
27/28
384.85
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

520.29
27/28
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2828
29%8/28
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

39%11/28
43%12/28
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

36%10/28
29%8/28
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%7/28
57%16/28
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

61%17/28
38%3/8
Led at HT → Won55%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%8/11
25%2/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 28/2828/282828
13%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
20%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
10%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
23%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
20%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
13%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 28/2828/282828
57%13/23
Scored First60%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%17/27
43%10/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%10/27
46%6/13
Win when Scoring First55%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

65%11/17
10%1/10
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%1/10
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 28/2828/282828
18%5/28
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%10/28
25%7/28
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%8/28
67%6/9
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%10/12
33%3/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%2/12
11%3/28
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

11%3/28

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 28/2828/282828
90%27/30
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%41/46
7%2/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%3/46
3%1/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/46
6%2/35
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/34
3%1/35
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%2/34

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2828
4.07
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.43
27/28
4.93
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.82
27/28
45%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
27/28
-1.07
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.36
48%13/27
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%20/28
27/28
37%10/27
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%16/28
27/28
30%8/27
Match Corners > 10.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

46%13/28
27/28

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 28/2828/282828
2.86
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.61
14%4/28
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%2/28
13.57
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.46
71%15/21
Match Cards > 3.569%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%16/24
21/2824/28
52%11/21
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

38%9/24
21/2824/28
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePreston at home · Middlesbrough on the road
1413
1.57
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.38
36%5/14
Win Rate37%

Share of sampled matches won.

38%5/13
14%2/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%5/13
1.14
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.85
0.86
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.46
43%6/14
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%3/13
50%7/14
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

62%8/13
29%4/14
Over 2.541%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

54%7/13
1.43
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.62
1.07
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.19