Championship·
Regular Season - 26·01/04/2025·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
WDDDW
1-1
Finished
HT1-1
Cardiff
Cardiff
DWLLD
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough25matchesCardiff24matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
60%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1561
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1374
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

47%
2.95
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.99

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2524
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.92
44%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

21%
28%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
28%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
32%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%
24%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

42%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2524
1.68
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
76%
Scored > 0.567%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

58%
64%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

83%
44%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%
36%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
48%
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

46%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
24%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2524
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.63
9.24
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.29
3.04
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.50
1.80
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.92
59%
Save %62%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

65%
32%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2524
1.35
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.05
1.24
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.56
0.11
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.51
0.43
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.12
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2524
14.60
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.67
5.04
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.21
10.04
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.13
69%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
12%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2524
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
520.84
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

405.33
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2524
36%9/25
Leading at HT28%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

21%5/24
36%9/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

42%10/24
28%7/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%9/24
60%15/25
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

71%17/24
78%7/9
Led at HT → Won79%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
29%2/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered20%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

11%1/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2524/242524
14%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
12%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
24%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
14%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
7%
61-75'8%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
29%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2524/242524
58%14/24
Scored First51%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

43%10/23
42%10/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

57%13/23
71%10/14
Win when Scoring First51%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

30%3/10
10%1/10
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

15%2/13
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

23'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2524/242524
36%9/25
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%5/24
28%7/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%9/24
82%9/11
Lead Saved after 75'71%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

60%3/5
18%2/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

40%2/5
12%3/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

29%7/24

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2524/242524
88%37/42
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%22/25
7%3/42
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/25
5%2/42
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

12%3/25
0%0/31
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%2/38
6%2/31
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%2/38

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2524
5.56
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.13
4.76
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.67
54%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
-0.22
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.10
72%18/25
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

54%13/24
56%14/25
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

46%11/24
48%12/25
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

38%9/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2524/242524
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.92
8%2/25
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%2/24
9.36
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.63
71%15/21
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%15/21
21/2521/24
38%8/21
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

48%10/21
21/2521/24
56%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Cardiff on the road
1312
1.69
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.75
46%6/13
Win Rate27%

Share of sampled matches won.

8%1/12
23%3/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

42%5/12
1.46
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.08
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.83
38%5/13
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%1/12
38%5/13
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%8/12
38%5/13
Over 2.544%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
1.34
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.03
1.26
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.61