Championship·
Regular Season - 24·12/29/2024·10:00
Coventry
Coventry
WLWLW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Millwall
Millwall
LWLLL
📍 The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
Season statsChampionship
Coventry23matchesMillwall22matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

43%
1479
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1477
49%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

50%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

35%
3.37
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.46

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2322
1.17
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.27
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

32%
26%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
43%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

36%
17%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

32%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2322
1.39
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
74%
Scored > 0.571%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
83%
Over 1.564%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

45%
61%
Over 2.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

23%
30%
Over 3.522%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

14%
57%
BTTS49%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

41%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

5%
22%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

5%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2322
1.48
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.91
10.57
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.86
3.52
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.23
2.09
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.27
59%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

70%
17%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2322
1.73
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.06
0.98
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.05
0.75
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.01
-0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.22
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2322
13.70
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.77
4.52
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.73
9.30
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.68
68%
Box Shot %71%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

74%
33%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
10%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2322
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

41%
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

69%
465.96
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

300.09
0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2322
26%6/23
Leading at HT24%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

23%5/22
30%7/23
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

41%9/22
43%10/23
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

36%8/22
43%10/23
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%14/22
67%4/6
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
50%5/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered31%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%1/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 23/2322/222322
22%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

5%
9%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
13%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

23%
9%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

23%
13%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
34%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 23/2322/222322
39%9/23
Scored First45%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%10/20
61%14/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%10/20
56%5/9
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

70%7/10
14%2/14
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/10
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

49'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 23/2322/222322
39%9/23
Scored after 75'33%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%6/22
17%4/23
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

23%5/22
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

71%5/7
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

29%2/7
13%3/23
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

9%2/22

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 23/2322/222322
94%30/32
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%21/22
3%1/32
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%1/22
3%1/32
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/22
3%1/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/20
3%1/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2322
6.78
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.59
5.22
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.23
57%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
1.11
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.17
83%19/23
Match Corners > 8.580%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

77%17/22
70%16/23
Match Corners > 9.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

73%16/22
57%13/23
Match Corners > 10.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

55%12/22

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 23/2322/222322
1.74
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
0%0/23
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%1/22
11.22
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.41
72%13/18
Match Cards > 3.569%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

65%13/20
18/2320/22
56%10/18
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

35%7/20
18/2320/22
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

77%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCoventry at home · Millwall on the road
1110
1.55
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.80
45%5/11
Win Rate28%

Share of sampled matches won.

10%1/10
36%4/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%4/10
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
1.45
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
18%2/11
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%3/10
73%8/11
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%5/10
91%10/11
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%2/10
1.93
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.04
0.99
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.17