Championship·
Regular Season - 22·12/21/2024·10:00
Millwall
Millwall
LLLDD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Blackburn
Blackburn
WWWWW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall20matchesBlackburn20matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
38%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

78%
1476
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1535
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

61%
22%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

95%
1.31
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.43

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2020
1.25
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.85
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

55%
35%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
35%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
35%
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
35%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2020
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
65%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
45%
Over 1.553%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
20%
Over 2.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
15%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

15%
40%
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
5%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

15%
5%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2020
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.85
10.10
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.00
3.30
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.45
2.35
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.50
71%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

79%
35%
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2020
1.13
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.33
1.01
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.19
0.11
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.14
-0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.13
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2020
11.70
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.60
3.80
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.95
8.75
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.65
75%
Box Shot %73%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
32%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2020
40%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
297.20
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

412.10
-0.19
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2020
25%5/20
Leading at HT33%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%8/20
40%8/20
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

45%9/20
35%7/20
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

15%3/20
65%13/20
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

65%13/20
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won74%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%7/8
14%1/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered7%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 20/2020/202020
5%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
5%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
25%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
25%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
15%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
25%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 20/2020/202020
50%9/18
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%10/18
50%9/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%8/18
67%6/9
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

90%9/10
0%0/9
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%2/8
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 20/2020/202020
25%5/20
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%6/20
25%5/20
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%4/20
71%5/7
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%8/8
29%2/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/8
5%1/20
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/20

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 20/2020/202020
95%19/20
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%23/24
5%1/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/24
0%0/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/24
0%0/18
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%2/18
0%0/18
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%1/18

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2020
5.75
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.80
5.35
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.35
52%
Corner Share45%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

37%
0.23
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.21
80%16/20
Match Corners > 8.578%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%15/20
75%15/20
Match Corners > 9.570%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

65%13/20
60%12/20
Match Corners > 10.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

45%9/20

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 20/2020/202020
2.30
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.45
5%1/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%2/20
12.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.50
78%14/18
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%14/18
18/2018/20
33%6/18
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

61%11/18
18/2018/20
77%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Blackburn on the road
1110
1.55
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
45%5/11
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%4/10
36%4/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%3/10
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.82
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
36%4/11
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%4/10
36%4/11
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%4/10
27%3/11
Over 2.534%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%4/10
1.16
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.24
0.94
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.22