Championship·
Regular Season - 16·11/23/2024·10:00
Millwall
Millwall
DWWWW
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Sunderland
Sunderland
DDDWW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall15matchesSunderland15matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
73%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1533
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1582
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

66%
81%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
1.36
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.70

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1515
1.53
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.07
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
33%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

27%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

13%
47%
Clean Sheet53%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1515
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
73%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

87%
47%
Over 1.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
27%
Over 2.537%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%
20%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
40%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
7%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
7%
Scored Both Halves27%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

47%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1515
0.87
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.73
10.07
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.27
3.40
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.07
2.47
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.33
73%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

76%
47%
Clean Sheet53%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1515
1.21
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.04
0.87
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.13
0.33
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.10
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.21
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1515
12.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.67
4.07
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.87
8.60
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.53
72%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

65%
34%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
10%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1515
38%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
279.67
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

395.07
-0.24
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1515
27%4/15
Leading at HT43%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%9/15
47%7/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%5/15
27%4/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

7%1/15
73%11/15
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

73%11/15
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

78%7/9
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1515/151515
6%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
6%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

28%
22%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

8%
28%
46-60'28%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

28%
17%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
22%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

12%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1515/151515
62%8/13
Scored First73%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

85%11/13
38%5/13
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

15%2/13
75%6/8
Win when Scoring First74%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

73%8/11
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%1/2
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1515/151515
27%4/15
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%3/15
27%4/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%4/15
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

82%9/11
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

18%2/11
0%0/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%3/15

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1515/151515
94%17/18
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%22/25
6%1/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/25
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

8%2/25
0%0/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

18%2/11
0%0/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

18%2/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1515
5.07
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.47
5.93
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.73
46%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

49%
-1.58
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.21
80%12/15
Match Corners > 8.570%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%9/15
73%11/15
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

33%5/15
60%9/15
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

20%3/15

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1515/151515
2.47
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.20
7%1/15
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%2/15
12.73
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.20
79%11/14
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

79%11/14
14/1514/15
36%5/14
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%8/14
14/1514/15
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

72%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Sunderland on the road
88
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
63%5/8
Win Rate56%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%4/8
25%2/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.88
50%4/8
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%4/8
38%3/8
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
38%3/8
Over 2.544%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%4/8
1.28
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.00
0.82
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.32