Championship·
Regular Season - 5·09/14/2024·07:30
Millwall
Millwall
WLDLW
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Luton
Luton
LDLDL
📍 The Den, London
Last 10Championship
Millwall10matchesLuton10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
52%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

35%
1477
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1340
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

36%
54%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

34%
2.28
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.54

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.60
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
30%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
60%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
50%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
50%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
20%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
40%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

70%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
10%
Scored Both Halves5%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.30
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.80
9.17
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.60
6/105/10
2.83
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.80
6/105/10
1.80
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.40
5/105/10
53%
Save %62%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
6/105/10
30%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.18
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.22
1.00
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.77
0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.55
0.01
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.07
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.60
6/105/10
3.17
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.60
6/105/10
9.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.20
6/105/10
78%
Box Shot %73%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
6/105/10
26%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
6/105/10
12%
Shot Conversion8%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

4%
6/105/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

51%
6/105/10
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
6/105/10
318.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

392.20
6/105/10
-0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%3/10
50%5/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
80%8/10
HT/FT Same Outcome75%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won67%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

33%1/3
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/1010/101010
8%
0-15'4%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
0%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

23%
8%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

23%
25%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
25%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

15%
33%
76-90+'32%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

31%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/1010/101010
38%3/8
Scored First24%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

11%1/9
63%5/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

89%8/9
100%3/3
Win when Scoring First100%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%1/1
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/8
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

16'
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/1010/101010
44%4/9
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
33%3/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%5/10
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'63%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%1/2
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%1/2
0%0/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/1010/101010
92%11/12
Open-Play Share77%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

62%8/13
8%1/12
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

38%5/13
0%0/12
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
8%1/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

22%5/23
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/23

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.83
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

7.60
6/105/10
5.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.40
6/105/10
47%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

69%
6/105/10
-1.16
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.85
83%5/6
Match Corners > 8.592%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

100%5/5
6/105/10
67%4/6
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%2/5
6/105/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 10.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%2/5
6/105/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/1010/101010
1.83
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.40
6/105/10
0%0/6
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

20%1/5
6/105/10
14.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.00
6/105/10
43%3/7
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%5/5
7/105/10
29%2/7
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

100%5/5
7/105/10
76%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Luton on the road
56
0.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
20%1/5
Win Rate18%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
80%4/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
20%1/5
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
20%1/5
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%3/6
40%2/5
Over 2.537%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%2/6
1.28
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.07
1.03
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.06