Championship·
Regular Season - 5·09/14/2024·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
WLDLW
1-1
Finished
HT1-1
Preston
Preston
LWWLW
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Last 10Championship
Middlesbrough10matchesPreston10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1571
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1414
69%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

49%
54%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

55%
2.74
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.89

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
70%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
50%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
40%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
30%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
20%
BTTS20%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
8.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.67
6/106/10
2.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.17
6/106/10
1.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.40
6/105/10
40%
Save %54%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
6/106/10
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.57
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.30
1.52
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.39
0.04
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.10
0.04
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
18.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

8.33
6/106/10
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.50
6/106/10
12.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.33
6/106/10
67%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
6/106/10
27%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

42%
6/106/10
7%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

18%
6/106/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
6/105/10
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
6/105/10
491.17
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

458.00
6/105/10
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

10%1/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/1010/101010
7%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
21%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
0%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

54%
36%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
14%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
21%
76-90+'18%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

15%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
100%6/6
Win when Scoring First92%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%5/6
0%0/3
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
46'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
10'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

24'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
11%1/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
11%1/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/1010/101010
86%12/14
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%12/13
14%2/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%1/13
0%0/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
8%1/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

19%3/16
8%1/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/16

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
6.83
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.40
6/105/10
4.17
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.80
6/105/10
62%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

43%
6/105/10
0.83
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.46
67%4/6
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%3/5
6/105/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 9.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%3/5
6/105/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 10.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%2/5
6/105/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/1010/101010
1.17
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
6/106/10
0%0/6
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

17%1/6
6/106/10
9.17
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.33
6/106/10
80%4/5
Match Cards > 3.570%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

60%3/5
5/105/10
60%3/5
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

40%2/5
5/105/10
54%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Preston on the road
45
1.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.80
50%2/4
Win Rate55%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.20
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
50%2/4
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%3/5
25%1/4
BTTS23%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
50%2/4
Over 2.565%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%4/5
1.55
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.18
1.56
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.60