First League·
Regular Season - 30·04/21/2025·09:30
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
LLWLL
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
LWWDD
📍 Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia29matchesSofia29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
42%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1426
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1635
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

62%
33%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
3.83
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.47

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2929
1.14
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.03
34%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

62%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

17%
55%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
17%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%
45%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2929
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.86
55%
Scored > 0.571%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
69%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
45%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
28%
Over 3.526%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

24%
41%
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%
21%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
28%
Scored Both Halves34%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

41%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2929
1.59
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.86
16.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.25
4/294/29
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.00
4/294/29
3.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
4/294/29
70%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
4/294/29
17%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2929
1.45
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.89
2.14
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.00
-0.69
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.89
-0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.28
0.26
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2929
5.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.25
4/294/29
1.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.00
4/294/29
2.25
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.75
4/294/29
41%
Box Shot %46%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

51%
4/294/29
32%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

30%
4/294/29
14%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

6%
4/294/29

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2929
35%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
4/294/29
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
4/294/29
237.75
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

362.75
4/294/29
-0.29
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.20

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2929
28%8/29
Leading at HT41%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

55%16/29
34%10/29
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

31%9/29
38%11/29
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

14%4/29
66%19/29
HT/FT Same Outcome64%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%18/29
75%6/8
Led at HT → Won81%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%14/16
0%0/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 29/2929/292929
0%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
13%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
31%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
22%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
16%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
19%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 29/2929/292929
32%9/28
Scored First55%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

79%22/28
68%19/28
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

21%6/28
78%7/9
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

77%17/22
16%3/19
Win when Conceding First16%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%1/6
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

51'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 29/2929/292929
24%7/29
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

34%10/29
31%9/29
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%11/29
100%8/8
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

89%16/18
0%0/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

11%2/18
10%3/29
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

24%7/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 29/2929/292929
81%26/32
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%52/55
16%5/32
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%3/55
3%1/32
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/55
8%4/48
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

19%5/26
4%2/48
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2929
2.25
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.25
4/294/29
8.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.50
4/294/29
22%
Corner Share40%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
4/294/29
-5.58
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.81
75%3/4
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%3/4
4/294/29
75%3/4
Match Corners > 9.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

75%3/4
4/294/29
75%3/4
Match Corners > 10.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%2/4
4/294/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 29/2929/292929
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
4/294/29
25%1/4
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/4
4/294/29
8.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.00
4/294/29
88%21/24
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

83%20/24
24/2924/29
63%15/24
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%16/24
24/2924/29
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Sofia on the road
1414
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.93
29%4/14
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

57%8/14
57%8/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%3/14
1.21
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.86
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.79
14%2/14
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%6/14
43%6/14
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%6/14
43%6/14
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

36%5/14
1.60
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.94
1.88
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.91