First League·
Regular Season - 26·03/29/2025·11:15
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
LWDWW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
DWDWW
📍 Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia25matchesSofia25matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
59%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

75%
1457
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1593
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

76%
61%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

73%
3.32
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.72

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2525
1.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.48
36%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
12%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

28%
52%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

32%
20%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

32%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2525
1.16
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
60%
Scored > 0.564%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
68%
Over 1.566%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

64%
40%
Over 2.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%
24%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
44%
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

12%
28%
Scored Both Halves36%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

44%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2525
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
19.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.50
2/252/25
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.50
2/252/25
3.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.00
2/252/25
70%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

80%
2/252/25
20%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2525
1.84
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.16
1.68
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.17
0.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.99
-0.40
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.45
0.47
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2525
4.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.00
2/252/25
0.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.50
2/252/25
1.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.00
2/252/25
25%
Box Shot %38%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

50%
2/252/25
13%
On-Target %19%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

25%
2/252/25
0%
Shot Conversion0%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

0%
2/252/25

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2525
34%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
2/252/25
71%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
2/252/25
244.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

339.00
2/252/25
-0.33
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2525
32%8/25
Leading at HT38%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%11/25
32%8/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

32%8/25
36%9/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%6/25
68%17/25
HT/FT Same Outcome66%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%16/25
75%6/8
Led at HT → Won78%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

82%9/11
0%0/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%2/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2525/252525
0%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
14%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
31%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
24%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
17%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
14%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2525/252525
38%9/24
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

54%13/24
63%15/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

46%11/24
78%7/9
Win when Scoring First77%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

77%10/13
13%2/15
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/11
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

37'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2525/252525
20%5/25
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%8/25
20%5/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

16%4/25
100%8/8
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

77%10/13
0%0/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

23%3/13
4%1/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%5/25

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2525/252525
83%24/29
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%34/38
14%4/29
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/38
3%1/29
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

8%3/38
8%3/36
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

18%4/22
3%1/36
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/22

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2525
2.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.50
2/252/25
9.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.00
2/252/25
17%
Corner Share30%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

43%
2/252/25
-7.56
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.70
100%2/2
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%1/2
2/252/25
100%2/2
Match Corners > 9.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%1/2
2/252/25
100%2/2
Match Corners > 10.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%1/2
2/252/25

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2525/252525
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

4.00
2/252/25
50%1/2
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/2
2/252/25
9.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

15.50
2/252/25
90%19/21
Match Cards > 3.582%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

73%16/22
21/2522/25
67%14/21
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

55%12/22
21/2522/25
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Sofia on the road
1212
1.17
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.42
33%4/12
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

42%5/12
50%6/12
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

42%5/12
1.42
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.92
17%2/12
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%5/12
50%6/12
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

25%3/12
42%5/12
Over 2.546%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
1.97
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.16
1.60
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.09