First League·
Regular Season - 17·12/01/2024·10:30
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
DDWLW
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia
LWLWW
📍 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Season statsFirst League
Ludogorets15matchesSofia16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
75%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

48%
1676
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1485
74%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

49%
75%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

46%
3.01
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.77

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1516
2.73
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.06
87%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

31%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

56%
80%
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%
7%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

44%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1516
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
93%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

56%
60%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
40%
Over 2.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

31%
20%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
20%
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

19%
47%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1516
0.27
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
6.80
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.00
5/153/16
1.60
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.33
5/153/16
1.60
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.67
5/153/16
100%
Save %90%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

80%
5/153/16
80%
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1516
2.16
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
0.98
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
1.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.09
-0.30
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.32
0.20
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1516
14.80
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.33
5/153/16
4.20
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

1.67
5/153/16
9.20
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

3.33
5/153/16
62%
Box Shot %49%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

36%
5/153/16
28%
On-Target %23%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

18%
5/153/16
14%
Shot Conversion7%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

0%
5/153/16

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1516
62%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
5/153/16
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
5/153/16
542.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

387.00
5/153/16
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1516
53%8/15
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

38%6/16
47%7/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

19%3/16
0%0/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

44%7/16
67%10/15
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%10/16
100%8/8
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%4/6
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

14%1/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1516/161516
22%
0-15'24%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

25%
4%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
26%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
19%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
15%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
15%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1516/161516
93%13/14
Scored First68%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

44%7/16
7%1/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

56%9/16
92%12/13
Win when Scoring First82%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
100%1/1
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/9
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

23'
53'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1516/161516
27%4/15
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

19%3/16
13%2/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

13%2/16
90%9/10
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
10%1/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
7%1/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

6%1/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1516/161516
96%26/27
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%12/16
4%1/27
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

25%4/16
0%0/27
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
14%1/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/20
43%3/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1516
6.20
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.67
5/153/16
2.40
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.00
5/153/16
72%
Corner Share55%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

38%
5/153/16
0.20
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.89
40%2/5
Match Corners > 8.570%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

100%3/3
5/153/16
40%2/5
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%2/3
5/153/16
20%1/5
Match Corners > 10.510%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0%0/3
5/153/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1516/161516
0.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.67
5/153/16
0%0/5
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/3
5/153/16
7.60
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

17.00
5/153/16
50%5/10
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

93%13/14
10/1514/16
30%3/10
Match Cards > 4.551%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

71%10/14
10/1514/16
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

78%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLudogorets at home · Sofia on the road
88
2.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.50
88%7/8
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

13%1/8
0%0/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

75%6/8
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.75
0.13
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
88%7/8
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%1/8
13%1/8
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%3/8
38%3/8
Over 2.531%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%2/8
2.53
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.43
0.86
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.56