First League·
Regular Season - 16·11/24/2024·10:00
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
DWDWW
2-2
Finished
HT1-1
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
WLWWW
📍 Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia15matchesLudogorets14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
69%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

72%
1448
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1667
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
72%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
3.11
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.04

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1514
1.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.86
33%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

93%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

7%
47%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%
27%
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

86%
47%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

7%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1514
1.13
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
53%
Scored > 0.573%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

93%
53%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

57%
47%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

36%
27%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

14%
33%
BTTS24%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

14%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

14%
40%
Scored Both Halves41%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

43%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1514
1.07
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.14
12.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

6.80
2/155/14
2.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1.60
2/155/14
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.60
2/155/14
80%
Save %90%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

100%
2/155/14
27%
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

86%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1514
1.93
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.37
1.25
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.81
0.67
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.56
-0.49
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.20

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1514
10.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.80
2/155/14
2.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.20
2/155/14
5.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.20
2/155/14
50%
Box Shot %56%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
2/155/14
25%
On-Target %27%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

28%
2/155/14
0%
Shot Conversion7%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
2/155/14

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1514
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

62%
2/155/14
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

87%
2/155/14
339.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

542.00
2/155/14
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1514
40%6/15
Leading at HT49%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

57%8/14
33%5/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

43%6/14
27%4/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/14
73%11/15
HT/FT Same Outcome69%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%9/14
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%8/8
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1514/141514
10%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
20%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

4%
25%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

28%
20%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
0%
61-75'6%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
25%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1514/141514
50%7/14
Scored First71%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

92%12/13
50%7/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

8%1/13
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First86%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%12/12
0%0/7
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

100%1/1
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

53'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1514/141514
33%5/15
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%4/14
20%3/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

7%1/14
71%5/7
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%9/9
29%2/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/9
20%3/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1514/141514
80%16/20
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%24/25
5%1/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/25
15%3/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/25
23%3/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%1/5
0%0/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

60%3/5

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1514
4.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.20
2/155/14
6.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.40
2/155/14
43%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

72%
2/155/14
2.16
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.49
50%1/2
Match Corners > 8.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

40%2/5
2/155/14
50%1/2
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%2/5
2/155/14
50%1/2
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

20%1/5
2/155/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1514/141514
4.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

0.60
2/155/14
0%0/2
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/5
2/155/14
15.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

7.60
2/155/14
69%9/13
Match Cards > 3.557%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

44%4/9
13/159/14
31%4/13
Match Cards > 4.526%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

22%2/9
13/159/14
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Ludogorets on the road
76
1.43
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

3.00
43%3/7
Win Rate71%

Share of sampled matches won.

100%6/6
43%3/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/6
1.14
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
0.86
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.17
29%2/7
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

83%5/6
29%2/7
BTTS23%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

17%1/6
29%2/7
Over 2.531%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%2/6
1.44
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.04
1.12
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.77